TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$514,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,547 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No75c64,315$48,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,078.797455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes24c46,666$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c43,764$32,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,191.1490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c43,504$12,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,075.074,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c36,831$9,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,138.571,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No75c35,714$26,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,928.496145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c32,091$24,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,750.633,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c24,895$6,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,142.542,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c16,845$10,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,692.2569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No75c14,797$11,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.353946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes28c11,254$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.2928357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes25c11,058$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.516023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes24c10,908$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.43633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2a…243ebacked Yes15c10,010$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes25c7,500$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87514250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c7,500$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.973053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No76c6,195$4,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes26c5,401$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.996468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No76c4,672$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.3721957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No76c4,262$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.2120245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes25c4,237$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c3,839$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.221,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes24c3,650$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes24c3,525$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No76c3,499$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.7415952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed No75c3,327$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No75c2,908$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7273145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes27c2,801$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c2,763$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.7319255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59e8…af0dbacked No61c2,686$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6253762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes25c2,452$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No72c2,114$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.0321322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes21c1,928$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ff…1603backed Yes16c1,911$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Yes25c1,770$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes24c1,717$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes22c1,700$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.921926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes15c1,673$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x552a…8b24backed Yes29c1,655$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c1,640$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4463553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c1,500$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.921,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes26c1,490$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick40cpaid-88.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No76c1,470$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.84753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.794434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.091090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes25c1,190$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7330749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes5c1,181$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes43c1,175$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7655…1fa8backed Yes41c1,151$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes27c1,120$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes28c964.29$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711e…1257backed Yes7c859.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes24c859$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1611146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No78c809$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…db4cbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes21c758.82$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes26c757.63$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5217032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes29c740$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.052638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes4c734$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes28c721$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.13441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002313%3 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-55.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed Yes25c704.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes29c688$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9612944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes28c677$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3815246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes25c675$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.756250%31 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked No70c673.01$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.012365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes24c672.93$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.893148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes28c638.03$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.371838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No67c629.58$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7621950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes18c616.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No76c599.99$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9186…fad1backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+121.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Yes25c582$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes7c580.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.062429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ff…d84cbacked Yes26c574.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes29c573.76$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.762161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes15c544.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7af…efb7backed Yes18c542.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes6c542.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.