TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7655…1fa8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst Stocks at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$257.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.71
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.11
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,000 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.72
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+1,015.1%+$262.63
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.97
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,263.94
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.35
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+487.5%+$4,066
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-87.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta dip to $450 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Meta dip to $500 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.13
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $300?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $290?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.37
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $295?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.