Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1680cb8dd6aa67cc5daeb3e04552f5b7ac4ac64ec71b7f9c8d1757c7795786ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 4c | 12,526$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.55 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…6703backed Yes | 5c | 10,197$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…5acbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,465$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 9c | 6,940$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.72 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 3c | 6,807$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 2c | 4,578$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 18c | 4,010$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.58 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 3,970$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,865$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 7c | 3,521$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,328$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…1679backed Yes | 3c | 3,068$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 9c | 2,972$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.37 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…1508backed Yes | 3c | 2,905$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…8614backed Yes | 1c | 2,871$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +369.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…b671backed Yes | 24c | 2,765$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…211cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,721$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d76…06ecbacked Yes | 6c | 2,675$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,572$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.43 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…3f6abacked Yes | 5c | 2,536$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4faabacked Yes | 17c | 2,501$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 2,347$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 9c | 2,340$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…002fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,228$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 5c | 2,073$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,038$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 6c | 2,016$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 1,999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,930$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,876$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 1,844$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…ac7abacked Yes | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5688…df0cbacked No | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…ad85backed Yes | 6c | 1,672$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…2150backed Yes | 8c | 1,643$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…d9babacked Yes | 15c | 1,639$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed Yes | 15c | 1,577$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…5b13backed Yes | 14c | 1,552$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,515$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 3c | 1,486$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 1,458$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…1426backed Yes | 3c | 1,399$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…c9c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,333$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…5c0ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,323$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 8c | 1,274$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…e2d4backed Yes | 8c | 1,273$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 2c | 1,211$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,199$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,136$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 6c | 1,092$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,079$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,069$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 5c | 1,029$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 3c | 1,002$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…d46bbacked Yes | 3c | 912.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ccb6backed Yes | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 5c | 877$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 862.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 71c | 840.04$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 4c | 839.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 816$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 745.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…ab72backed Yes | 6c | 732.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…c435backed Yes | 7c | 722.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 8c | 690.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 675.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e9…ec52backed Yes | 7c | 674.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…f608backed Yes | 15c | 649.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc768…d748backed Yes | 4c | 649.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes | 8c | 645.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 6c | 631.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…980ebacked Yes | 5c | 624.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…d5f6backed Yes | 16c | 604.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 31c | 598.82$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…81fabacked Yes | 6c | 598.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…9cd2backed Yes | 7c | 597.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…d2bbbacked Yes | 3c | 592.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…9430backed Yes | 12c | 580.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…adadbacked Yes | 17c | 578.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038e…9d60backed No | 78c | 575.09$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf173…e01dbacked Yes | 14c | 565.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…5786backed Yes | 13c | 563.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 3c | 552$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…3e98backed Yes | 7c | 546.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…256cbacked Yes | 18c | 541.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 541$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…4498backed Yes | 24c | 512.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…a922backed Yes | 7c | 498$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…c316backed Yes | 6c | 493.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 9c | 492.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 8c | 481.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…6fc4backed Yes | 9c | 480.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.