Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175764b1ef610460ba525853ae675eaa0e3f8d0080b1af6b45891402560c0493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddae…52c4backed Yes | 2c | 6,642$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 3c | 5,159$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…32cbbacked Yes | 12c | 4,311$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,893$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed Yes | 7c | 3,643$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…32d5backed Yes | 4c | 3,477$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 4c | 3,391$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…0d69backed Yes | 1c | 2,369$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 2,146$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…c117backed Yes | 9c | 1,856$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…f1f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,752$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,625$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 1,044 | 9.2%96 W · 948 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…7466backed Yes | 2c | 1,612$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 73c | 1,365$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…a181backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…47c4backed Yes | 8c | 1,307$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…39b2backed No | 78c | 1,287$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…1eb1backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c12…9a6bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,109$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…d642backed Yes | 25c | 999.95$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 808.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 75c | 693.62$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Yes | 12c | 681.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…d9b4backed Yes | 3c | 678.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…e179backed Yes | 3c | 662.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 650$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 203 | 23.6%48 W · 155 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87b…1a52backed Yes | 4c | 646.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 3c | 603$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 26c | 602.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 355 | 34.9%124 W · 231 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 526.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 5c | 502.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 4c | 470$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 38c | 459.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 16c | 438.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 22c | 427.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…11e4backed Yes | 13c | 397.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 29c | 389.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Yes | 26c | 386.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…33ebbacked Yes | 5c | 383.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b56…62a7backed Yes | 20c | 363.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 7c | 339$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…7500backed Yes | 31c | 321.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…a074backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 72c | 290.02$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…fd27backed Yes | 8c | 254.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 35c | 249.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 25c | 204.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…fe88backed No | 65c | 171.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…d69fbacked No | 64c | 167.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 57c | 164.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…b62ebacked No | 78c | 163.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…21fdbacked No | 64c | 163.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b98…e27dbacked Yes | 10c | 162.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…540dbacked No | 73c | 148.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…70c7backed No | 80c | 130.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 57c | 122.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 19c | 120.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…4d0abacked No | 76c | 118.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 105.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 163 | 76.7%125 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…d131backed Yes | 30c | 100.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…0189backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…f83dbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…b893backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…fba0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…a2e0backed Yes | 24c | 81.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 34c | 74.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes | 34c | 59.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 29c | 41.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…a85dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…ae8dbacked No | 74c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.