Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5799004182dc796006345365f449ceead54be4f8f20e5e1290ce57d16d2b8a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6c7…daa0backed Yes | 4c | 16,124$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 16c | 14,404$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 13,709$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 13,004$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.1 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 36c | 11,843$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcbcbacked No | 75c | 10,300$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 11c | 9,094$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.91 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 75c | 7,470$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 26c | 6,210$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.3 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…7f89backed Yes | 30c | 5,950$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b09…e8efbacked Yes | 24c | 4,816$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 10c | 3,918$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.88 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 3,385$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.35 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…b383backed Yes | 0c | 3,340$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 32c | 3,163$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.16 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 64c | 2,520$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.73 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…abfabacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +273.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,323$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…0eabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 70c | 1,800$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 10c | 1,690$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 74c | 1,631$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.14 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 69cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 28c | 1,371$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.76 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…2070backed Yes | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…06ddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,186$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 1,136$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,083$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,050$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,042$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 6c | 1,042$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…a40dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,035$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…970bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,035$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 41c | 999.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…d448backed Yes | 4c | 990$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 21c | 966.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +215%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…ca9fbacked Yes | 26c | 931.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…0936backed Yes | 5c | 909.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…6115backed Yes | 22c | 889.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Yes | 26c | 871$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed No | 74c | 845$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 836.44$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 55c | 800$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…f9bdbacked No | 78c | 799.99$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…e1dcbacked No | 79c | 762.4$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…73e1backed Yes | 24c | 626.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…df5cbacked Yes | 30c | 610.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 603.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…f776backed No | 74c | 600.03$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 8c | 587.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 79c | 585.98$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 559.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 20c | 554.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…76fabacked Yes | 16c | 550.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed No | 71c | 535.04$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 10c | 532.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 79c | 524.51$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…523fbacked No | 69c | 495.94$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…18d2backed Yes | 10c | 495$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 468.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed4…ff9fbacked Yes | 4c | 467.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 4c | 465.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…1779backed Yes | 5c | 437.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e1dcbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 29c | 424$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…36dcbacked Yes | 15c | 409.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…b716backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…7a14backed Yes | 3c | 385.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1e…f069backed Yes | 16c | 369.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…7b2bbacked Yes | 30c | 369.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.40per pick | 48cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…3542backed Yes | 21c | 360$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…a3f2backed Yes | 31c | 355.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed Yes | 9c | 346.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…f1c8backed Yes | 29c | 345.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 14c | 332.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -77%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…36efbacked Yes | 29c | 324.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 12c | 321.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Yes | 25c | 301.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097d…7a5abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 285.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 21c | 283.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…22c1backed No | 71c | 281.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes | 27c | 260$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 27c | 250.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…e411backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…4c0fbacked Yes | 21c | 245.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 242.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 29c | 234.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…fca1backed No | 58c | 233$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…6198backed Yes | 32c | 223.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 17c | 220.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2988backed No | 80c | 211$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.