Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eedfdbff1c7a12b40b84ed8043b8acc8fd3400993f0d1445c5b1b172f244232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 56c | 30,076$16,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,315.8 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 7c | 13,492$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.72 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 57c | 13,070$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 10c | 12,616$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.42 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 9,100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…0eabbacked Yes | 10c | 7,088$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…c56ebacked No | 60c | 5,341$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed No | 52c | 5,272$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…f9bdbacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…6d55backed Yes | 2c | 4,574$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 49c | 4,567$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,159$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 3c | 4,026$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 32c | 4,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c7b8backed No | 59c | 3,995$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 3c | 3,704$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Yes | 40c | 3,482$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…4fe7backed No | 45c | 3,476$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…a833backed No | 59c | 3,388$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 46c | 3,287$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 60c | 3,004$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.33 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,927$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.74 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 50c | 2,627$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.65 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 47c | 2,605$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.02 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 57c | 2,575$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…ff1dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,487$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 4c | 2,470$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…56e0backed No | 41c | 2,433$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…daddbacked Yes | 4c | 2,405$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 9c | 2,365$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,193$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 5c | 2,102$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 76c | 2,032$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed No | 50c | 2,031$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…f608backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 46c | 2,000$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 41c | 1,920$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked No | 60c | 1,889$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…9d82backed Yes | 27c | 1,830$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…48bebacked No | 73c | 1,830$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,756$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…df97backed Yes | 57c | 1,743$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 38c | 1,732$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,700$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 1,620$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 51c | 1,600$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +167%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,579$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,564$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 43c | 1,394$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.63 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed No | 56c | 1,344$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 5c | 1,327$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 41c | 1,307$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.89 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…35a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,296$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…16e6backed Yes | 47c | 1,289$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 49c | 1,248$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed No | 49c | 1,231$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…2070backed Yes | 50c | 1,209$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…82c5backed Yes | 3c | 1,131$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,029$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 2c | 938.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…7d63backed Yes | 15c | 898.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 885.04$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed No | 60c | 882.63$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…dbd2backed Yes | 62c | 882.42$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 878.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…9949backed Yes | 11c | 876.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 7c | 800$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 17c | 799.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed No | 74c | 797.32$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…ab72backed Yes | 3c | 796.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87aa…e7cebacked No | 63c | 789.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 778.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…e38fbacked Yes | 12c | 750$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…6ea5backed No | 57c | 714.29$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393f…3a55backed Yes | 14c | 665.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Yes | 42c | 659.79$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…b3f4backed No | 42c | 620.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.87 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 59c | 600$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 593.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…0936backed Yes | 8c | 588.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…76fabacked Yes | 14c | 587$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…8b78backed Yes | 47c | 582.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…1b61backed No | 63c | 578.32$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 567.85$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 35c | 564.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +215%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…1779backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…1d13backed Yes | 60c | 553$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…8aaabacked Yes | 10c | 550$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 57c | 547.22$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 25c | 543.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed Yes | 10c | 524.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…5826backed Yes | 10c | 521.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 24c | 509.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…4ee2backed Yes | 41c | 506.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +226.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.