Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9873e4c216f5af4dc19651af175cf432c72e80a60c7ff78918f8e252b0e31642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 48c | 2,985$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.37 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…aa05backed Yes | 68c | 1,543$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.1 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 42c | 1,165$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.33 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 1,091$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.58 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 51c | 1,059$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 46c | 982.49$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.89 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 955.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 36c | 832$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 34c | 813.56$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.15 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…5ffdbacked No | 36c | 723.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…3868backed No | 47c | 695.35$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 36c | 631.25$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes | 60c | 602$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 595.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 51c | 444.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.04 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 43c | 442.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 39c | 402.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.23 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed No | 15c | 399.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked No | 57c | 367.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed Yes | 52c | 363.04$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 48c | 357.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 31c | 353.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…ea10backed No | 57c | 348.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…ed9ebacked Yes | 55c | 348.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked No | 55c | 344.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 63c | 334.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 46c | 317.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 281.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 42c | 278.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked No | 10c | 251.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0f…4547backed No | 36c | 244.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 15c | 237$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…298ebacked No | 54c | 228.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361d…761ebacked No | 55c | 222.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 216.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 205$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…d9babacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3e92backed Yes | 59c | 197.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…1980backed Yes | 60c | 197.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 53c | 189.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked No | 9c | 187.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…5585backed Yes | 69c | 186.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…f160backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 42c | 183.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…4a09backed Yes | 60c | 180.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…ab00backed Yes | 60c | 175.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…2cc1backed Yes | 59c | 175.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…474bbacked Yes | 75c | 175.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…dd69backed No | 59c | 172.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…e2e1backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…cf93backed Yes | 64c | 167.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…9274backed No | 49c | 162.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 60c | 160.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…369bbacked Yes | 72c | 160.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…cf0dbacked Yes | 63c | 160.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…d5c1backed Yes | 66c | 159.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 57c | 157.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…e7a1backed Yes | 63c | 157.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…53f3backed No | 54c | 153.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579f…6a08backed Yes | 71c | 152.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…4bfabacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e6…5705backed Yes | 65c | 149.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 47c | 145.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…1e18backed Yes | 69c | 142.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed No | 63c | 129.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 10c | 129.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes | 61c | 129.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 20c | 128.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 43c | 127.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…aacbbacked Yes | 74c | 123.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…b502backed No | 44c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…d8e0backed No | 51c | 117.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cb…629bbacked Yes | 71c | 113.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…a426backed No | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…6c90backed Yes | 70c | 110.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…352cbacked No | 36c | 110.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…f6cbbacked Yes | 68c | 109.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 52c | 106.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1205…fd78backed No | 57c | 102.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd4…4d1abacked Yes | 59c | 102.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…6791backed No | 50c | 100.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5517backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…8df2backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…85f4backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…1fc6backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…a4e1backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…0321backed No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…c1f5backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…04d1backed No | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 58c | 94.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 68c | 94.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 162 | 76.5%124 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 67c | 93.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.