Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a62a7f7a9affdded6b3947b0fb63a5e8701e544a263d76d200599642c97d956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $789,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 1c | 25,439$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 20c | 15,741$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.84 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 13,907$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,999$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 9,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5c47backed Yes | 6c | 8,497$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…18fdbacked Yes | 22c | 8,186$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 5c | 6,862$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.39 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,401$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…fe09backed Yes | 15c | 5,354$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…ecc3backed Yes | 6c | 4,499$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…b6c5backed Yes | 14c | 4,274$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…2a18backed Yes | 6c | 4,207$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…6115backed Yes | 17c | 4,110$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…eee0backed Yes | 6c | 3,947$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 13c | 3,786$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.35 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…0eabbacked Yes | 3c | 3,178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 17c | 3,058$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 3c | 3,052$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +13.8wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 3c | 2,844$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 2c | 2,726$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,572$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 10c | 2,477$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 78c | 2,295$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 2c | 2,180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…9469backed Yes | 26c | 2,137$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…83a6backed Yes | 6c | 2,054$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…13b4backed Yes | 6c | 2,028$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked No | 72c | 1,940$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…6657backed Yes | 6c | 1,924$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,890$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…0ee0backed Yes | 6c | 1,797$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…fc2dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,767$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 1,725$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,595$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,595$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…05f8backed Yes | 6c | 1,539$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…0936backed Yes | 3c | 1,515$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 79c | 1,490$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,489$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…4835backed Yes | 19c | 1,477$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 1,453$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…3f70backed Yes | 17c | 1,431$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,420$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…1ae5backed Yes | 6c | 1,407$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b7…3045backed Yes | 6c | 1,374$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…59dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,373$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…d5d0backed Yes | 6c | 1,345$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…68aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,308$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,307$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,292$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…1ab3backed Yes | 6c | 1,278$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…e57dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,211$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…de47backed Yes | 6c | 1,208$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…7558backed Yes | 6c | 1,206$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d72…fbc1backed Yes | 6c | 1,197$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77b…b478backed Yes | 2c | 1,191$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…6f5dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,186$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…97cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…c87cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,095$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 68c | 1,095$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…f064backed Yes | 6c | 1,074$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…a152backed Yes | 6c | 1,056$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…bb69backed Yes | 15c | 1,029$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…17d5backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f1c7backed Yes | 6c | 961$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…3c57backed Yes | 3c | 960$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…8a29backed Yes | 6c | 941$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 32c | 939.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.02 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 3c | 900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 895.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…692cbacked Yes | 6c | 895$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…02d5backed Yes | 6c | 823$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…ee21backed Yes | 6c | 821$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259e…17c2backed Yes | 6c | 821$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…563dbacked Yes | 6c | 817.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…7c5abacked Yes | 6c | 817$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8d…e4cebacked Yes | 6c | 813$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 17c | 778.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…4277backed Yes | 6c | 774$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…a962backed Yes | 6c | 770$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…f2acbacked Yes | 6c | 763$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…7211backed Yes | 6c | 763$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…39eebacked Yes | 6c | 755$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…af5ebacked Yes | 6c | 730$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 716.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…c27cbacked No | 75c | 689$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…20afbacked Yes | 22c | 682.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 5c | 648$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 2c | 639$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf0…176ebacked Yes | 6c | 634$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes | 19c | 613.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cf…4108backed Yes | 6c | 605$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 4c | 600.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e272backed Yes | 17c | 588.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 17c | 581.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…712dbacked Yes | 6c | 556$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.