TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6056…c27c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,020.64
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.99
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,597.84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,852.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.84
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,900
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+218.8%+$1,098.04
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$389.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$444
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+234.5%+$237.38
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$79.8
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$468
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+313.4%+$2,326.29
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,720
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$148.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+501.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+236.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.5
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,349.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$819.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$266.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.