Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004c15721e0d74126ee440e299b325f1874fe17f8792809486390c009b85dbd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,744,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,744,784 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed1…84e5backed No | 0c | 961,243$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…24c9backed No | 1c | 461,092$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…6c4dbacked No | 0c | 342,255$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 0c | 200,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…99aabacked No | 0c | 70,333$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 46,330$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…98e2backed No | 1c | 39,089$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 0c | 36,272$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked No | 0c | 35,617$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 35,483$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked No | 26c | 28,608$7,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,562.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed No | 10c | 22,248$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…3e18backed No | 0c | 17,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 24c | 17,388$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 16c | 13,901$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.32 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 17c | 13,629$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.67 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…740fbacked No | 0c | 13,015$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…fc83backed No | 1c | 10,973$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed No | 0c | 9,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 8,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 29c | 8,119$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…7041backed No | 29c | 7,763$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 7,750$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 17c | 7,747$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.81 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 78c | 7,705$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.9 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 18c | 7,380$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…5626backed Yes | 79c | 7,000$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 65c | 6,816$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.47 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 78c | 6,749$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.85 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…1326backed No | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…0035backed No | 21c | 6,077$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 75c | 5,700$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked No | 29c | 5,449$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.91 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 5,344$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.5 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 77c | 5,215$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.21 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed No | 0c | 5,074$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…48c5backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 74c | 4,732$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…cbe8backed Yes | 72c | 4,328$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 19c | 4,300$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 65c | 4,281$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1f30backed No | 3c | 4,231$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 75c | 4,027$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…2d0ebacked No | 0c | 3,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 3c | 2,876$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 28c | 2,743$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.37 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c43…2914backed Yes | 72c | 2,422$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…d55bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,395$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 2,393$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.49 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed No | 3c | 2,300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 2c | 2,276$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 6c | 2,256$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 65c | 2,222$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…e3e9backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…2647backed Yes | 74c | 1,996$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…1a13backed Yes | 67c | 1,992$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…f795backed Yes | 78c | 1,934$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…8ffdbacked No | 17c | 1,931$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 25c | 1,916$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,750$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 25c | 1,698$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.03 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked No | 24c | 1,630$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5f…6f36backed Yes | 76c | 1,601$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 72c | 1,538$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 1,518$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…df7dbacked No | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…f85dbacked No | 11c | 1,418$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d2…4db7backed No | 30c | 1,400$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 68c | 1,363$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed No | 16c | 1,361$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…48b6backed No | 3c | 1,340$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 39c | 1,306$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.42 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…7d2ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,303$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,273$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,256$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,227$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…2affbacked No | 17c | 1,206$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 29c | 1,178$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.09 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…5840backed No | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9b9abacked No | 4c | 1,170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…47bfbacked No | 23c | 1,168$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 78c | 1,162$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.93 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Yes | 75c | 1,156$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 1,149$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed No | 17c | 1,116$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 79c | 1,106$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 2c | 1,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 31c | 1,069$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…53a7backed No | 19c | 1,068$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467d…6737backed No | 34c | 1,022$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 3c | 1,010$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…71afbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…8b52backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…37fabacked No | 20c | 993.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…a7e8backed No | 26c | 975$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a9…d60cbacked Yes | 79c | 930.71$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…122fbacked Yes | 79c | 915.12$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 6c | 911.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.