Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e8f0db05570a5048fdccdae58a52c608aa6cf640ced2190dcbeb52ce52f491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,487,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,897,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,487,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,028 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 2c | 480,535$8,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,092.62 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 3c | 162,460$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 161,529$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…0879backed Yes | 7c | 155,872$10,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,741.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 3c | 154,498$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.27 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Yes | 3c | 107,535$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.63 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…7359backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…bf63backed Yes | 1c | 94,917$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…a873backed Yes | 8c | 90,857$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 90,465$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.8 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 86,154$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.98 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 82,836$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…7d75backed Yes | 4c | 81,459$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 80,898$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…b75bbacked Yes | 8c | 77,185$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…859cbacked Yes | 1c | 76,707$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…9cd2backed Yes | 7c | 68,774$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 66,275$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.53 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 62,328$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.37 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…04d8backed Yes | 5c | 59,784$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…11dbbacked Yes | 7c | 56,051$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…4cc4backed Yes | 7c | 53,858$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a953backed Yes | 0c | 51,901$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…8f78backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…fb98backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 3c | 46,929$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 5c | 46,761$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…64b4backed Yes | 4c | 45,153$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.02 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 3c | 44,625$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.43 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 5c | 44,351$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…77d8backed Yes | 3c | 43,500$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 4c | 43,119$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 6c | 43,000$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 3c | 41,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.59 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0407backed Yes | 1c | 40,682$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.98 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 5c | 40,586$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.64 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 0c | 40,430$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…81ddbacked Yes | 6c | 40,341$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 7c | 40,000$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 2c | 36,689$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.79 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 36,240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 1c | 35,891$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…4925backed Yes | 1c | 34,842$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 5c | 34,694$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.31 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…9293backed Yes | 3c | 34,341$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 4c | 33,231$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…156fbacked Yes | 4c | 32,965$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked Yes | 3c | 32,476$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.53 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked Yes | 3c | 31,321$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.66 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked Yes | 1c | 29,962$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…3363backed Yes | 1c | 29,892$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…5e88backed Yes | 0c | 27,775$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…75acbacked Yes | 1c | 27,312$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…d194backed Yes | 3c | 27,117$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd157…0b20backed Yes | 8c | 27,097$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 2c | 27,037$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.18 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…9b5cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,933$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…b24bbacked Yes | 6c | 25,006$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Yes | 2c | 24,684$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 3c | 23,388$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.95 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 5c | 21,835$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.18 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…f4eebacked Yes | 0c | 21,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…6f00backed Yes | 5c | 21,420$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…276fbacked Yes | 1c | 21,378$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.47 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…05a6backed Yes | 0c | 21,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 20,978$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.13 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…2006backed Yes | 3c | 20,651$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 5c | 20,384$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 20,208$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.66 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc8…5a06backed Yes | 5c | 20,040$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…d6d8backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 0c | 19,505$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…69c5backed Yes | 4c | 19,135$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 19,091$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.46 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…f17abacked Yes | 7c | 18,856$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…d680backed Yes | 3c | 18,773$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…04ebbacked Yes | 0c | 18,452$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…7225backed Yes | 1c | 17,200$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…b66dbacked Yes | 4c | 16,721$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…2f5fbacked Yes | 3c | 16,644$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…cd48backed Yes | 6c | 16,307$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…1b4cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…5f70backed Yes | 1c | 15,376$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 7c | 15,207$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…86f0backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 4c | 14,645$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.3 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…9351backed Yes | 4c | 14,550$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.72 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…cbbbbacked Yes | 2c | 14,407$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 14,247$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.23 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…6ce6backed Yes | 3c | 13,789$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 3c | 13,771$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.24 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…cf86backed Yes | 1c | 13,734$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…ceefbacked Yes | 1c | 13,278$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…bdf2backed Yes | 1c | 13,200$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…dc7dbacked Yes | 7c | 13,048$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…9251backed Yes | 4c | 12,677$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 12,600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 3c | 12,565$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.