Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2fa56a2f071ac0616228c8cdfe9943bd379d9d1453c84b4e17871786525702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,390,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,390,443 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ce…69b1backed No | 0c | 324,307$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 181,139$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…c331backed No | 0c | 122,920$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…06d9backed No | 0c | 99,790$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9319…9195backed No | 0c | 95,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742a…6e69backed No | 0c | 78,577$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…370abacked No | 0c | 70,070$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…7576backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 0c | 46,844$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…3bf9backed No | 0c | 31,280$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…e739backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…0c0cbacked No | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ac…9bcabacked No | 0c | 14,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…cc5abacked No | 0c | 14,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 2c | 11,021$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…6dadbacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…fb07backed No | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…38cdbacked No | 0c | 10,009$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…14ecbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…0ed2backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…e61dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…cd8dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…ac9abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 79c | 9,962$7,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 73c | 9,146$6,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.32 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…a288backed No | 0c | 7,575$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 22c | 7,268$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.49 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…c07bbacked No | 0c | 7,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d96abacked No | 0c | 6,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…4589backed No | 0c | 6,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…b582backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…719dbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4d…aed9backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…63c7backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…a871backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d6abacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a8…21f0backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 18c | 3,918$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed No | 28c | 3,608$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked No | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3b…3fddbacked No | 19c | 2,800$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 16c | 2,464$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.96 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 19c | 2,451$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.95 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…097dbacked No | 25c | 2,433$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 2,310$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 17c | 1,930$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.93 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…a745backed No | 18c | 1,843$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked No | 30c | 1,697$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a24…dd4ebacked No | 28c | 1,527$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 28c | 1,491$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.11 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,488$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…1ed8backed No | 21c | 1,464$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 70c | 1,379$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.05 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked No | 11c | 1,304$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 1,140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed No | 1c | 1,110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…e13cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,102$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…3218backed No | 18c | 1,060$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 1,044$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc5…6133backed No | 26c | 999.94$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 29c | 944.82$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 28c | 939.6$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 5c | 900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 16c | 877.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…eb11backed No | 14c | 773.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 33c | 652.94$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 68c | 600$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…765ebacked No | 30c | 588.03$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 18c | 565.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 78c | 562.04$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 15c | 546.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 25c | 503.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 8c | 447.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 28c | 444.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 78c | 408.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…2a35backed No | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…d737backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…1e28backed No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed No | 23c | 374.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…81ebbacked No | 27c | 362.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 74c | 347.51$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…7d9ebacked No | 24c | 343.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…e994backed No | 31c | 322.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed No | 28c | 287.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 11c | 260.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…9851backed No | 29c | 226.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…11aabacked No | 24c | 217.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…c408backed No | 12c | 211.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…2cdabacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.