Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x968405389c88e2d11e379042be4893f34989b0086ae84029edffbec51ff5fd7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $656,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 35,721$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 7c | 33,929$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.64 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 4c | 27,988$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.16 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 15,187$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.41 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 4c | 11,526$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.62 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…94c8backed Yes | 19c | 9,200$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 5c | 8,362$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.48 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 7c | 8,227$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 12c | 7,321$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…96bfbacked Yes | 14c | 6,968$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 6,801$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 77c | 6,116$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,058$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c08…1ff6backed Yes | 5c | 5,799$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 3c | 5,360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 15c | 5,215$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 5,120$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…d2a3backed Yes | 9c | 5,108$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 3c | 5,016$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 1c | 4,821$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 4,701$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 16c | 4,558$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.82 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…0847backed Yes | 3c | 4,509$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,444$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +373.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 8c | 4,175$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,873$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.82 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 12c | 3,831$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.87 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,496$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.06 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,465$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…8378backed Yes | 8c | 3,200$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233d…6197backed Yes | 4c | 3,122$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,005$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 2,995$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…7994backed Yes | 5c | 2,795$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,789$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 2,564$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…3988backed Yes | 8c | 2,501$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 6c | 2,360$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed Yes | 22c | 2,281$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.84 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…04c7backed Yes | 9c | 2,272$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…1ffebacked Yes | 7c | 2,157$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,132$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 81 | 2.5%2 W · 79 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,114$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Yes | 21c | 2,097$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 7c | 2,095$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,976$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…2a7cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,720$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,704$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed No | 79c | 1,550$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…b445backed Yes | 10c | 1,531$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 1,506$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…43c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,472$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…fc2dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,402$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…5ac8backed No | 72c | 1,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…66e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,369$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,365$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 4c | 1,333$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 1,329$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…fd5bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,264$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Yes | 9c | 1,253$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…fb00backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 14c | 1,245$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed No | 75c | 1,239$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked Yes | 12c | 1,232$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bf…e604backed Yes | 8c | 1,188$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…366bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,186$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f6…026ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,186$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…4b59backed Yes | 9c | 1,170$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…83ccbacked No | 80c | 1,154$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 1,141$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 8c | 1,094$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 28c | 1,066$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…3d83backed Yes | 17c | 1,057$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…03ccbacked Yes | 19c | 1,013$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…00bfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,011$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…ea2abacked Yes | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…715dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…1b57backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 992.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 12c | 986.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…cbcdbacked Yes | 9c | 937.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a9…db57backed Yes | 11c | 911.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…c8fbbacked No | 73c | 910.77$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…1768backed Yes | 6c | 862.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 845.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…2370backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 3c | 830.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 18c | 817.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…e957backed Yes | 20c | 807.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 18c | 800.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…a889backed Yes | 6c | 799.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 12c | 751.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 27c | 717.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 706.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…1c8cbacked Yes | 4c | 696.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 5c | 685.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.