Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e264f6bb5ce1d2f8081bc712495db2a53802382addb112dec9d1b984b8da35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,283,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,283,730 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 453,615$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…8d71backed No | 0c | 427,979$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…c686backed No | 0c | 244,015$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…685ebacked No | 0c | 112,671$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…bf04backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2963…046bbacked No | 1c | 65,274$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…2101backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…977ebacked No | 0c | 46,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 9c | 36,501$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed No | 1c | 34,073$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…dc79backed No | 0c | 32,663$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…2d1cbacked No | 1c | 31,299$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…0e2cbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…b479backed No | 4c | 26,804$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…44fabacked No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b47…d49abacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…d4ecbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea38…af81backed No | 0c | 17,700$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a42dbacked No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 1c | 13,872$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…f584backed No | 1c | 13,867$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 1c | 10,033$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1def…f7bfbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…5eb4backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…5cf2backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 0c | 10,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…48b5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…8e3dbacked No | 1c | 9,901$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…ff2dbacked No | 0c | 9,120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…6599backed No | 0c | 8,130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…c14ebacked No | 0c | 6,810$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…782fbacked No | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…a10dbacked No | 13c | 5,204$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413e…1f18backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 10c | 4,913$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 10c | 3,665$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 11c | 2,200$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…dd29backed No | 1c | 2,167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 12c | 2,106$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 7c | 2,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…cc76backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…ba35backed No | 1c | 1,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…20bfbacked No | 9c | 1,692$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 1,577$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…1068backed No | 1c | 1,577$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked No | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…6fe3backed No | 8c | 1,472$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 10c | 1,332$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 15c | 1,222$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked No | 9c | 1,117$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 6c | 999.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 9c | 937.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…4e88backed No | 9c | 912.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 749.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…276dbacked No | 8c | 714.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…f2d6backed No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +517.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 5c | 700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed No | 10c | 600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 9c | 555$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…f48fbacked No | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 13c | 499.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 9c | 492$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked No | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked No | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked No | 5c | 342.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…29fdbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…4bc9backed No | 12c | 277.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…c9cfbacked No | 15c | 260.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…ed7fbacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 11c | 220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…d7c5backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…a249backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…9c53backed No | 17c | 192.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 9c | 177.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 11c | 168.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…c4a6backed No | 13c | 156.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 10c | 151.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…ace4backed No | 18c | 138.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…510bbacked No | 13c | 120.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…b647backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ca26backed Yes | 80c | 19.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.