TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9edd…6fe3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.1
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.99
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$675.1
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$1,472.07
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.36
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+403.7%+$400.73
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$396
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.74
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$36.15
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.29
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$83.5
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.14
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-83.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$6,342.48
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.38
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112%+$560.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$105.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.