TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Yes57c15,395$8,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,620.062025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa551…e050backed Yes74c14,582$10,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No25c11,934$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No26c9,213$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.313151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No30c8,771$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.914332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No24c8,176$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.710652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No12c7,706$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.697545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No43c7,423$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.7411547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked No36c7,314$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.621618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No39c6,832$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.996235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes54c6,102$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.563652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No33c5,710$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.3721337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.982268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes65c4,970$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.01425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-61.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes42c4,315$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.915757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No7c3,857$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No55c3,766$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No24c3,644$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.844946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No38c3,637$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.697944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db5…f6ddbacked No48c3,189$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes58c3,100$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.0814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3546…c697backed Yes67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No17c2,886$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes68c2,557$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No6c2,552$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.121942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Yes38c2,475$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.761225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes65c2,416$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes77c2,353$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No33c2,318$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.675662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed No3c2,300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.15022%11 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked No10c2,280$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No33c2,176$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.072669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9edd…6fe3backed Yes68c2,100$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No23c2,022$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.082334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes65c2,000$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No60c1,964$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No25c1,912$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.822227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed Yes42c1,903$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.922864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No41c1,879$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No40c1,756$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.568939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No41c1,630$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.175635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No3c1,595$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No45c1,514$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.553467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed No47c1,426$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes39c1,421$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.8410020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed No24c1,370$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-71.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No32c1,301$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.497643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No26c1,295$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.441926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…9671backed Yes68c1,223$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No18c1,140$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5810142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No57c1,127$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.117950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked No49c1,049$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed No6c1,045$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes57c1,044$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.110128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…a6d3backed No35c999.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes58c999.97$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9912523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes40c983.25$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.25418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No60c965.63$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3812246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No44c925.99$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.910837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes65c916.82$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.822528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d7…53f8backed Yes51c878.37$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…d35ebacked Yes43c808.95$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes67c807.62$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.831926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked No63c798.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb96d…4179backed Yes65c765.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Yes63c716.69$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.711040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes60c701.91$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.576829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No46c677.94$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.6914458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Yes60c655.19$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.19850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No43c619.5$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.183271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes59c606.78$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1988338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No53c599.34$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed No16c550.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick21cpaid+154.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed No5c546.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked No11c544.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0fa…f8c9backed Yes56c531.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No17c519.46$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.34139%16 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf505…4c26backed No17c517.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+132.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0780…b0e9backed Yes59c508.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.511040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…fe85backed Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No52c506.46$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.92969%20 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17011836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Yes40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.993023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33db…b673backed Yes39c470.1$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.761241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed Yes45c465.29$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.911752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes72c458.27$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Yes70c450.08$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes52c449.05$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1824720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed No46c424.48$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No55c422$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked No35c416.55$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.811050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…05c0backed Yes65c414.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.25540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.