TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac60…4c8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$134.09
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$24.15
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$25.22
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.34
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$61.97
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$149.86
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.46
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.95
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$111.42
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.9
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.93
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$45
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$150.96
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$84.34
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$65.53
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$283.28
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.07
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.81
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.22
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.28
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$441.08
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$238.28
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$129.21
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$92.7
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.51
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$76.91
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.