Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Valletta FC win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x529d83019213010db63a18ee112b32d279b9c9623e45d48232b2fae13a90f1ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 70,660$12,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,669.21 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 18,916$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.69 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 17,613$14,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.54 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 8,436$6,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.85 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 3c | 5,011$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64bf…9393backed Yes | 3c | 4,666$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 2,822$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.37 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 1,790$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 21c | 1,440$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 77c | 1,421$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.84 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 79c | 644.39$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 3c | 451$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 9c | 413.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 78c | 354.14$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 351.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 21c | 301.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 29c | 171.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 19c | 159.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 23c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…a9acbacked Yes | 23c | 66.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed No | 77c | 64.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed No | 80c | 50.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 65c | 46.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 45c | 44.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 41c | 33.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed No | 78c | 29.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 71c | 22.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…bd31backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 80c | 13.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valletta FC win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC end in a draw?No won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.