Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe827ca197ba528dc2f9579f09c381c640ddbb0f4b9f1ee6aa76c5e818c03e8c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 21,408$8,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,084.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 10c | 9,162$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.89 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 5,092$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 3,760$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Yes | 55c | 3,666$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 67c | 3,352$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.18 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 3,080$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 2,059$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.23 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 51c | 1,900$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…6eefbacked Yes | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 10c | 893.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 889.16$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.73 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 30c | 856.63$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 12c | 854.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 57c | 797.54$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 56c | 745.29$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.93 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 10c | 600.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 476.01$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 61c | 334.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 39c | 327.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 67c | 312$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 11c | 300.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 65c | 300.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 57c | 271.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 12c | 262.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 29c | 253.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 11c | 224.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 10c | 199.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 174.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 28c | 166.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…a9acbacked No | 12c | 153.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 132.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 10c | 127.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 68c | 117.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 15c | 113$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 56c | 106.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 51c | 103.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 93.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Yes | 65c | 89.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 65c | 87.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 29c | 85.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 76c | 73.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Yes | 77c | 64.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Yes | 58c | 57.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yes | 67c | 56.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 49c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 49c | 49.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 46c | 40.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 65c | 36.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 31c | 34.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1673backed No | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…2193backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Yes | 67c | 29.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 78c | 23.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…e56dbacked Yes | 61c | 16.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Valletta FC win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.