TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes41c46,583$19,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,074.465650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No59c25,424$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,423.733644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c19,643$13,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,217.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20050%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes28c9,822$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.727925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes46c7,446$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.183441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No80c7,374$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No70c6,623$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.0219155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes23c6,499$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes29c5,850$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.699920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c5,768$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.121,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes40c5,006$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.781353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c4,681$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.61,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c4,504$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.341,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No30c4,440$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.573545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes40c4,224$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.8829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes74c4,073$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9720036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6807244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes1c3,986$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick21cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No78c3,907$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.7510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes19c3,285$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No65c3,221$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.662,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No66c3,054$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.476251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes33c3,045$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.341,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked No78c2,943$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.361573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+50.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No74c2,798$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.5228940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes11c2,402$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7114530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No69c2,364$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.368657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes38c2,323$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.0875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes39c2,265$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.3612646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes37c2,257$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.3723733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes42c2,256$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.092142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No59c2,192$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.331136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No59c2,000$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9719447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Yes30c1,953$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.486524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed No74c1,896$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.02742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes34c1,785$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.868818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes34c1,774$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.153836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No66c1,769$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No74c1,655$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7816641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No76c1,522$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.172254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes38c1,382$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.996339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c1,233$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.455,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9412738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes77c1,165$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.338268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c1,156$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.763,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40746530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes31c1,096$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7819437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes36c1,033$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7919846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No74c1,002$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.824436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7127…c7a2backed Yes2c985.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No52c981.94$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.0413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes19c940.65$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2310649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…c687backed Yes9c915.34$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.932520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes34c900$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes26c899.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23718631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes25c889$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6810667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No59c862$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.572,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No59c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.271,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.271,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No74c740.14$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.073650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No74c733.41$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.863759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No68c724.57$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes35c660.19$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked No76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No65c656.41$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.344852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes39c649$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.551,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…edf7backed Yes24c643.74$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes38c610.33$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes6c588$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.289714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No73c506$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8435240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No75c465.61$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No32c461$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.484148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Yes42c459.03$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.59651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes36c447.71$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4520065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No61c401$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0538233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes40c400.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.194141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes32c385.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes32c382.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.171833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c372.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.31,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Yes40c370$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No26c357.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.287248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No76c328.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.953447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes39c305.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5616864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9be1…6087backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes40c277.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No63c277$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.373180.6%25 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+78.7%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes29c271.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Yes38c269.84$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.542420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-56.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes5c264$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes38c263.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked Yes26c247.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.531643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes39c245.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes27c239.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5742946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes21c237.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.451,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.