Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60000c51ab389419cf2e67791489ab5440fc6eecde6485b7371e48298f58161f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 35c | 11,142$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.68 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 9,908$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.37 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 3c | 4,171$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 3,163$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.16 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 2,128$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.91 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,520$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 1,473$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 38c | 969.55$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.43 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 65c | 769.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212d…5023backed Yes | 30c | 667.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 31c | 512.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 420.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 76c | 396.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 67c | 351.07$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 328$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 328$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 327.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 60c | 325.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 226.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 208.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked No | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 48c | 195.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 174$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked No | 76c | 166.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 65c | 160.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes | 62c | 160.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 34c | 142.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 35c | 122.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9d…6703backed Yes | 80c | 102.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 40c | 97.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 37c | 78.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 65.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 58.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…4c72backed Yes | 25c | 52.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 72c | 50.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 45.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 44.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 37c | 36.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…6c35backed Yes | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8ccebacked No | 66c | 34.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…a02abacked Yes | 62c | 31.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 37c | 30.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 66c | 28.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Yes | 37c | 27.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…fea4backed Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 41c | 25.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…b061backed Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 69c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 72c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 72c | 18.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 65c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.