TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Yes29c10,049$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.71618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes5c9,414$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.876235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes6c7,563$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.212817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No76c7,088$5,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.454332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd2…059fbacked Yes10c5,906$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No77c4,751$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.713256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c4,204$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.537944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes12c3,671$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.039935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes18c3,473$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.513917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes24c3,444$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.8510128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c3,325$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.653766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No52c2,890$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.1810652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…7571backed Yes19c2,668$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.892040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,580$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.24591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a80…6b2bbacked Yes6c2,520$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes21c2,367$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.243716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc5…004abacked Yes1c2,332$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c2,114$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.145317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc2…40abbacked Yes15c2,025$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No51c1,785$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.295028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes9c1,700$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes16c1,597$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes7c1,590$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.344320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes5c1,527$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.611618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+57%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes8c1,493$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.456819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes29c1,409$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4065630.4%17 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes5c1,400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes20c1,354$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3710837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Yes15c1,166$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.891428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes7c1,149$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.045619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes12c1,077$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1711836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes16c1,045$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.510142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes37c920$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.42718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Yes39c827.22$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes9c825.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7215922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd003…0113backed Yes9c819.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes6c806.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6824720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e9…76e7backed Yes6c782.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7566…ae05backed Yes14c745.08$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.162015%3 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-65.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Yes20c744.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No79c704.42$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.661060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes8c699.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1210020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes35c686.66$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.69164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes7c676.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…e8d5backed Yes30c668.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes64c650$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.855337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae28…0285backed Yes15c645.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+188.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c3…ebfabacked Yes4c603.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26de…6299backed Yes11c601.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426b…6cbfbacked Yes25c600$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes13c571.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.953842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes9c555.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+455.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Yes65c550$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c540.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.78195.3%1 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e8…100bbacked Yes4c538.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222a…d5afbacked Yes17c515.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes5c499.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235022%11 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes5c479.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes21c474.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…9cb1backed Yes7c456.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3160%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f45…9671backed Yes6c449.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6657…8e4fbacked Yes4c448.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.831118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8250…ddd0backed Yes12c417.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes11c400$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.917715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes10c399.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.714429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04d0…acf6backed Yes5c370.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x554e…b3b2backed Yes11c369.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5bb…51edbacked Yes31c352.35$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.441533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b8…030dbacked Yes12c350$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4270%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes5c348.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7504…1b50backed Yes5c340.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes15c339.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f50…a1c1backed Yes14c335.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b0…efdbbacked Yes12c322.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c9c…aec8backed Yes11c318.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e5…155abacked Yes65c305.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No35c300.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.212839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea08…6191backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.83259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes8c294.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes18c293.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.11625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No73c290$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.322842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes14c286.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes25c281.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.086523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54a…c622backed Yes8c266.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No35c263.27$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.729165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0397…6f51backed Yes40c262.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.451145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf56…3f6ebacked Yes8c257.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes26c255$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick21cpaid+154.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes6c252.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6bf…dbe7backed Yes12c251.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8d…2218backed Yes14c243.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes10c235.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-70.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Yes26c230.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be4…b548backed Yes17c229.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.623727%10 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2e…34cbbacked Yes22c225.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes62c222.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0032…3cc0backed Yes16c222.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-80.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.