TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Yes27c15,987$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.382025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No73c14,000$10,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes1c11,136$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.551030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c10,515$7,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.0721337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes28c9,654$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.772817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c7,065$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.19591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33db…b673backed Yes36c6,900$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c5,857$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.910128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes6c4,732$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…7571backed Yes6c4,520$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.962040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes4c4,254$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No79c4,160$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.743151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes6c4,099$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.951421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No77c3,363$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.548330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x333d…6127backed Yes3c2,729$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c2,355$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.723271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes13c2,332$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No70c2,267$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.1212246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes6c2,130$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315630.4%17 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc5…004abacked Yes1c2,027$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes50c2,008$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c1,955$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.113766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Yes29c1,808$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.611225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes36c1,751$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.55418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No71c1,702$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.495757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No69c1,669$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6714458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x060e…ac12backed Yes31c1,624$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No54c1,574$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.143467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No65c1,560$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1412353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No76c1,417$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.264852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No66c1,348$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.756235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…40abbacked Yes10c1,319$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7380%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes6c1,292$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.921414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-75.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes9c1,278$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1211836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes18c1,215$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.084332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes31c1,138$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…994dbacked Yes27c1,127$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.171225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed Yes5c1,109$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes31c1,093$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1710020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Yes18c1,013$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c966.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No54c940.24$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes13c938.41$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.611850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No62c929.69$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.342673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabaf…e4c5backed No74c916.48$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed No64c889.97$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes19c876.44$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0924720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes40c844.56$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.394320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes12c837.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Yes37c823.82$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes32c787.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+57%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No49c784.87$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.514136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…9cb1backed Yes5c773.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3960%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd49…b383backed Yes5c759.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c730$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.12669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed No58c724.03$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Yes27c700$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes11c699.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No66c698.25$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.457950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed No74c643.08$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes7c640.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.776819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4533…d1debacked Yes29c639.85$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.841513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes15c635.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes48c630.51$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a29…90efbacked Yes22c607.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…0450backed Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes9c584.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.167115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes11c579.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4610142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes7c575.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.319164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf261…f745backed No64c555$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81f…656ebacked Yes35c552.49$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3750%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8528…d446backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes15c523.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Yes27c517.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930f…1063backed Yes31c516.46$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes4c500.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes19c499.11$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2711845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9bd…e007backed Yes13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes4c456$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes27c455.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8110837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No60c450.93$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8511266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed No73c432.41$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No63c400.66$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No60c400$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce07…9609backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10490%0 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes13c398.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf5…7170backed Yes8c385$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes29c370.12$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes30c366.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.37per pick51cpaid+69.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5eb…c512backed Yes28c354.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No67c353.32$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.882969%20 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes30c337.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e9…3b95backed Yes30c335.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b1…01e5backed Yes8c319.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.