F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96438d1753939d08a5fb0a23d9fd3777aefefd31af147a8df2c2dacaaeb0ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 15c | 9,977$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.92 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…4c26backed Yes | 8c | 3,266$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…438dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,242$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 12c | 1,975$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,725$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 10c | 1,710$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,596$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,444$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…51edbacked Yes | 14c | 1,425$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,192$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…5e45backed Yes | 13c | 1,007$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 10c | 937.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 9c | 829.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…5c04backed Yes | 13c | 775.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…6f2abacked Yes | 13c | 757.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 11c | 716.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…656ebacked Yes | 13c | 709.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…e5d6backed Yes | 14c | 697.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 16c | 628.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…29a2backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 18c | 571.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 14c | 500.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 15c | 500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…b235backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae9…3e79backed Yes | 14c | 404.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +292.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 16c | 393.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +332.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 29c | 361.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 356.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 322.25$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…b380backed Yes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 264.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 17c | 243.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 16c | 241.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…0285backed Yes | 16c | 205.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 18cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…eafdbacked Yes | 15c | 198.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…8d3bbacked Yes | 15c | 196.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…34cbbacked Yes | 20c | 195.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 16c | 191.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 176.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…dca2backed Yes | 14c | 170.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5d7fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 16c | 157.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…af7dbacked Yes | 10c | 145.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +354.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes | 17c | 133.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 17c | 133.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 21cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 15c | 133.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed Yes | 23c | 128.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 123.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 17c | 118.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…9343backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…81c3backed Yes | 15c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…3a7ebacked Yes | 11c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 15c | 110.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 17c | 101.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…cf12backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Yes | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…c622backed Yes | 17c | 98.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 92.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 17c | 88.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…8717backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 16c | 75.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes | 28c | 71.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 16c | 63.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda2…68e7backed Yes | 59c | 37.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 73c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.