TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No60c5,373$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.0221337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No58c5,116$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.934332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes39c4,872$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.672817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No47c4,795$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.673256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No60c4,229$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.062025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fc5…004abacked No1c4,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No54c3,844$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.613151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No37c3,318$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.9610652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes72c2,877$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.082360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes68c2,700$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes50c2,539$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.973917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No60c2,466$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.7212246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No71c2,369$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.073271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes41c2,150$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.513219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…7571backed Yes64c1,810$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.552040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes60c1,665$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No59c1,620$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.975662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes40c1,600$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.997739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No29c1,486$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.794946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No79c1,470$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.063467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes23c1,467$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.6411836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No55c1,417$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.14852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes43c1,405$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.118330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes34c1,389$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.3712353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes18c1,353$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.485418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No56c1,344$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.1310837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c1,217$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.333766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes19c1,207$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.7710020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No75c1,187$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.764136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No3c1,090$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.78591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c1,045$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.87944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa84…7fddbacked Yes37c1,044$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.74944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No77c1,043$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.231323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes65c1,010$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.15757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes49c990.97$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.669164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Yes39c985.27$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.011346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes27c949.96$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.126235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes27c949.71$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.438127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes30c945.24$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.736819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes53c932.82$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.232227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eef…81b8backed Yes66c931.04$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes44c904.7$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.73652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes63c889.29$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.92673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No40c874.85$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes55c870.51$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.12334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Yes56c863.08$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed No39c823.87$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No21c781.35$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.452839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…ada4backed Yes40c761.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…f50dbacked Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Yes45c739.15$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes58c726.21$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.352240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes26c713.37$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.4924720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No45c704.42$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.391060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c690.02$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes52c687.34$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.894320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No61c669.99$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes40c650$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes56c631.7$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0be…e6c2backed Yes40c555.34$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No54c538.08$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+144.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes66c537.32$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.291662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes41c490.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.882528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed No62c487.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Yes37c465.53$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes37c449.31$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5bb…51edbacked Yes20c444.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.471533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes40c422.15$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+74.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed Yes59c411.48$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.391546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes45c406.78$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.032619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No61c399.99$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf505…4c26backed Yes23c397$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+132.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No74c393.2$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.359165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes55c389.39$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.933842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes57c384.83$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.49742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No76c382.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5211266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked No62c370.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes41c364.55$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.552540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes35c349.8$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.077950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes35c344$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2231353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d3…e394backed Yes40c340$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes39c338.25$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.083167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes44c336.68$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.87728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…7e12backed Yes63c329.39$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes16c318.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.31414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes33c317.86$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.511845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No63c315.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b9…51dcbacked Yes40c311.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.96728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-75.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes36c300$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1915619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c299.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.55317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9304…a781backed Yes37c299.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+186.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7566…ae05backed Yes55c289.36$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.512015%3 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-65.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4533…d1debacked No4c278.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.