TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0be…e6c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT4247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kym vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$458.75
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squirebacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.5
Nottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passarobacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$212.11
Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Taburbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$67.51
Bastad: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.8
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$64
Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Brasov: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$41.56
Wimbledon ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.48
Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$47.7
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$74.57
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$102
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+191.8%+$90.14
ITF Tanger: Reda Bennani vs Sean Cueninbacked Reda Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Andrej Nedicbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$51.58
ITF Claremont: Bryce Nakashima vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Bryce Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$51.86
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$40.82
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+60%+$191.98
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.79
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$251.53
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.85
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.88
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.59
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.45
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.54
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$87.64
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$147.02
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.29
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.11
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.1
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$84.53
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$68.43
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.05
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$99.02
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.28
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$102.2
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$36.51
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$66.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.46
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+50.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$97.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$319.84
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+107.5%+$94.42
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+54.8%+$54.77
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$29.88
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+114.7%+$51.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$203.68
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+90.1%+$198.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Stormbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$57.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$62.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.