MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c5d8a63aeed10a54659812fd3b11e2599635db895863563cd31c2dd61c83b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 40,215$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 14,942$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.14 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 14,591$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.94 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Francisco Giants | 13c | 13,814$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 12,423$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.19 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 8,732$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 7,717$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.15 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,122$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 3,081$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.04 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,899$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.1 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 2,152$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,086$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.54 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,752$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,720$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.21 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 1,536$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,496$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,400$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,323$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,307$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 1,250$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.06 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 1,215$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,044$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.45 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,000$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,000$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.05 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…eba2backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 980.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 827.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 773.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 772$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…4625backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 743.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 700.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 612.9$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 604$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 599.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 599.94$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.37 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 567.31$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 524.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 499.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 489.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 459.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 454.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 448.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 437.34$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 423.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 414.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 409.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 388.1$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 383.96$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 344.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 341.15$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 335.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 329.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 299.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 294.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 265.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 264.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 256.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 226.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 221.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants | 16c | 220.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 212.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 209.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 209.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 207.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 207.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 206.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 206.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…92c1backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 204.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 201.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 199.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 199.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 197.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 197.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 189.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 188.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 185.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 182.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 178.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 173.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked San Francisco Giants | 22c | 169.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 157.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked San Francisco Giants | 9c | 146.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 141.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 17c | 137.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 136.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 136.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 136.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…c2b4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 132$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…6de9backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 130.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…c45cbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 130.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 14.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 15.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.