Tennis · resolved market
Kym vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19fbeeb3b325675244f77b4c6b711767039925cdddde90cd1fceb6dcaa8bbed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 1,048$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 59c | 770.25$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e6c2backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 469.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.47 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Over | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 46c | 391$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 359.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Over | 55c | 252.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 200.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over | 55c | 181.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Over | 56c | 150.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 131.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 13c | 131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 45.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kym vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Kym vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kym vs TsitsipasTsitsipas won
- Set 2 Winner: Kym vs TsitsipasKym won
- Set Handicap: Kym (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Kym (+1.5)Kym won
- Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.