Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Kym (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe81fb5b89b3c6c9df8e88948c97bbaf426b8b0d942f9c246b10e07afc48f6f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kymof Tsitsipas, Kym
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Tsitsipas | 50c | 747.36$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kym | 50c | 533.66$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Tsitsipas | 52c | 384.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Kym | 51c | 327.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Tsitsipas | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kym | 48c | 277.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Kym | 50c | 223.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kym | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tsitsipas | 51c | 190.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kym | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tsitsipas | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Tsitsipas | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kym | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…2ce1backed Tsitsipas | 52c | 59.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tsitsipas | 49c | 55.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Kym | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Tsitsipas | 51c | 30.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tsitsipas | 51c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Kym (+1.5)this page
- Kym vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Kym vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kym vs TsitsipasTsitsipas won
- Set 2 Winner: Kym vs TsitsipasKym won
- Set Handicap: Kym (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
- Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.