Tennis · resolved market
Brasov: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Maks Kasnikowski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9110c9e39d141cf193689c59a07a788e15ee3697b97a13df3ef6ad56268e327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maks Kasnikowskiof Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg, Maks Kasnikowski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 2,589$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…bd78backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 6c | 1,791$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 1,547$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 8c | 822.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 37c | 811.14$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 757.01$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.01 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 756.61$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maks Kasnikowski | 64c | 577.43$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 37c | 543.77$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 63c | 481.16$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 63c | 444.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maks Kasnikowski | 63c | 427.55$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 19c | 424.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 339$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 314.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 29c | 268.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 247$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Maks Kasnikowski | 59c | 235.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Maks Kasnikowski | 65c | 231.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 35c | 170.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 40c | 168.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 152.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 146.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e6c2backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Maks Kasnikowski | 55c | 80.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maks Kasnikowski | 65c | 52.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 31c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 49.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 48.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…805abacked Maks Kasnikowski | 63c | 47.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…c268backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 36c | 44.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -6.5wins | -0.31per pick | 36cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 39.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…a566backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 38.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 32c | 37.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…f2b5backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 64c | 31.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Maks Kasnikowski | 61c | 23.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Maks Kasnikowski | 74c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brasov: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Maks Kasnikowskithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gueymard-Wayenburg vs KasnikowskiKasnikowski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.