TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0bb…4c8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 50 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT17158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Rome: Nuria Brancaccio vs Eva Vedderbacked Eva Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Elena Pridankinabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$40.95
Granby: August Holmgren vs Aidan Mayobacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$28.12
Athens Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.94
Lincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton Sheppbacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bunschoten: Andres Santamarta vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$30.69
Cordenons: Max Hans Rehberg vs Guido Justobacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bunschoten: Pieter De Lange vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iasi Open, Qualification: Martina Okalova vs Ipek Ozbacked Martina Okalova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swiss Open, Qualification: Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteirobacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$28.59
Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+65%+$28.11
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bogota: Matias Soto vs Lorenzo Claveriebacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.84
Nottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Contrexeville: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubellobacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$31.53
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Lorenzo Claveriebacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.61
Nottingham 3: Max Basing vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Ivan Ivanovbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$35.98
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.32
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.