Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca81855cce784faffd84af89e98bdeb7d2893f0efadae593e5bc8a3a3858489e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Simona Waltertof Simona Waltert, Leyre Romero Gormaz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 24c | 12,003$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.41 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Simona Waltert | 80c | 5,034$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.7 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 4,352$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.16 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Simona Waltert | 67c | 2,797$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.87 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 1,436$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.32 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 1,415$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 7c | 1,300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 575 | 22.1%127 W · 448 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 25c | 1,254$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 957.03$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.54 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 13c | 843.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 13c | 493.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 12c | 363.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 10c | 267.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 35c | 243.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 32c | 234.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 38c | 230.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 10c | 199.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 38c | 153.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 8c | 149.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 14c | 132.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Simona Waltert | 64c | 131.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Simona Waltert | 65c | 104.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 896 | 59.6%534 W · 362 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Simona Waltert | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 13c | 89.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 503 | 41.9%211 W · 292 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Simona Waltert | 65c | 87.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 392 | 60.5%237 W · 155 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Simona Waltert | 74c | 80.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Simona Waltert | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 26c | 75.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 30c | 64.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 63.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Simona Waltert | 64c | 62.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Simona Waltert | 64c | 60.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Simona Waltert | 79c | 58.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Simona Waltert | 63c | 57.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 28c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Simona Waltert | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 518 | 35.1%182 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Simona Waltert | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Simona Waltert | 63c | 44.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 26c | 44.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Simona Waltert | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Simona Waltert | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Simona Waltert | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Simona Waltert | 79c | 22.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Simona Waltert | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Simona Waltert | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 172 | 69.2%119 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…c255backed Simona Waltert | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.