TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb096…d4eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$111.3
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$45.47
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$27.02
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$102.57
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$48.9
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.45
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$34.69
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$40.65
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96.97
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swedish Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gastonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$12.36
Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.27
Iasi Open: Clara Burel vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelyginabacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Athens Open, Qualification: Qianhui Tang vs Elina Nepliybacked Qianhui Tang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Luan: Cheuk Ying Shek vs Ikumi Yamazakibacked Cheuk Ying Shek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.84
Swiss Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilasbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$5.16
ITF Don Benito: Martyna Kubka vs Valentina Ryserbacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Newport: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Jiang/Xubacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.42
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Lorenzo Claveriebacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Henri Squirebacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Contrexeville: Francesca Curmi vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Pierre Antoine Tailleubacked Denis Constantin Spiridon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Benjamin O'connell vs Noah Zamorabacked Noah Zamora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$4.84
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.19
All 21 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.15
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.