Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Sussex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b9c9eba0d66a28bd1a559ba75606ca4d7cbe344ff1a1d104a056a00faf6b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Surrey, Sussex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Sussex | 32c | 5,055$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.03 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Surrey | 69c | 4,892$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.38 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Surrey | 79c | 3,146$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Sussex | 7c | 2,512$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Sussex | 15c | 2,170$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Surrey | 69c | 1,446$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.32 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sussex | 28c | 752.9$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Sussex | 18c | 708.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sussex | 34c | 687.83$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Sussex | 26c | 619.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Sussex | 26c | 563.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sussex | 28c | 542.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Sussex | 14c | 478.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…1202backed Surrey | 60c | 457.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sussex | 31c | 421.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Sussex | 25c | 339.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sussex | 37c | 337.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Surrey | 62c | 330.1$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…7705backed Surrey | 58c | 292.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Sussex | 36c | 287.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sussex | 23c | 282.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Sussex | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Surrey | 52c | 242.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Surrey | 76c | 225.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sussex | 30c | 193.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sussex | 32c | 188.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…a681backed Surrey | 63c | 173.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sussex | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Surrey | 61c | 162.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Surrey | 66c | 157.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Surrey | 63c | 141.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sussex | 26c | 125.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Surrey | 65c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Surrey | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Sussex | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sussex | 38c | 99.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Sussex | 20c | 94.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Sussex | 17c | 88.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Surrey | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sussex | 31c | 77.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Surrey | 76c | 65.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…b031backed Surrey | 75c | 65.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sussex | 30c | 63.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Sussex | 36c | 55.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Surrey | 57c | 54.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Surrey | 63c | 52.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Surrey | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Sussex | 32c | 48.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Sussex | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Sussex | 41c | 43.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sussex | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sussex | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sussex | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Sussex | 31c | 38.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Surrey | 68c | 38.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sussex | 36c | 31.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…c462backed Sussex | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Surrey | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…8590backed Surrey | 69c | 29.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Surrey | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Surrey | 70c | 28.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Surrey | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Surrey | 63c | 23.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.