TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0a9…b031

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$31.14
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.11
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.82
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.17
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.82
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.25
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.88
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$41.65
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 20 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Kent vs Middlesexbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.57
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Sussexbacked Surrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$16.13
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+271.9%+$135.93
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Kentbacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.38
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.65
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.23
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.91
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.47
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.73
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.48
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+85.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$58.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.