Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Kent vs Middlesex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478517cbb679dd6d59cb28a7528356da7eb86c8b0daecc8ba526738694f8c387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesexof Kent, Middlesex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Middlesex | 42c | 4,879$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Kent | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kent | 58c | 1,608$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.65 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Kent | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kent | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…7705backed Middlesex | 55c | 1,152$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kent | 57c | 845.6$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kent | 8c | 809$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Middlesex | 73c | 606.87$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kent | 7c | 597.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Kent | 15c | 511.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kent | 49c | 430.85$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…9645backed Middlesex | 41c | 376.15$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kent | 58c | 337.3$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kent | 73c | 278.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Middlesex | 58c | 206.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Middlesex | 59c | 169.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…39d6backed Kent | 31c | 158.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Middlesex | 67c | 155$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Middlesex | 67c | 147.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kent | 69c | 147.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Kent | 72c | 138.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…b031backed Kent | 69c | 135.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Middlesex | 42c | 134.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Kent | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Middlesex | 49c | 115.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Middlesex | 55c | 111.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Middlesex | 27c | 101.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Middlesex | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kent | 43c | 98.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Kent | 60c | 98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kent | 47c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4037…143bbacked Kent | 66c | 76.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kent | 41c | 75.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Middlesex | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Kent | 58c | 73.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Middlesex | 42c | 70.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Kent | 43c | 68.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Middlesex | 34c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Kent | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kent | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Kent | 36c | 41.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Middlesex | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Middlesex | 39c | 40.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Middlesex | 34c | 40.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Middlesex | 48c | 37.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Middlesex | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kent | 44c | 30.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Kent | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Middlesex | 55c | 28.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Middlesex | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Middlesex | 55c | 24.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kent | 73c | 23.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Kent | 56c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Kent | 64c | 19.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Kent | 63c | 16.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.