Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f0965a3bd704ad9c184851242606ad35a4ffe733febf5074d4fbcc59d52eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,536,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,677,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,536,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 40c | 172,811$68,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,751.85 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 76c | 158,460$120,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,705.03 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 39c | 105,505$41,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,856.68 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…f0adbacked Yes | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,749.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 1c | 70,043$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.3 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +251%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 47c | 57,226$26,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,407 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed Yes | 60c | 57,000$34,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,379.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 6c | 53,456$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.97 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 62c | 52,879$32,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,605.19 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 35c | 52,449$18,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,251.47 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 29c | 51,507$14,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,870.2 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…21cdbacked Yes | 11c | 50,217$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked No | 74c | 45,617$33,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,839.06 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 10c | 43,535$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.19 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 66c | 42,474$28,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,009 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 57c | 33,718$19,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,601.46 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 57c | 32,567$18,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,583.36 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 62c | 32,313$20,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,031.97 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 51c | 32,084$16,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,489.78 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 32c | 30,174$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,738.3 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 34c | 29,976$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,665.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…6fddbacked No | 36c | 26,617$9,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,109.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 26c | 25,200$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 24c | 24,867$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,941.39 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 50c | 23,950$11,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,027.14 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 71c | 23,714$16,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.89 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 25c | 21,866$5,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,424.31 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c521backed Yes | 61c | 21,375$12,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,963.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +269.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed No | 28c | 20,506$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,792.72 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 56c | 20,365$11,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,878.79 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed No | 46c | 20,202$9,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked No | 52c | 20,006$10,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,620.64 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Yes | 53c | 19,980$10,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,591.72 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 5c | 18,768$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.76 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed No | 21c | 18,593$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,744.34 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…8354backed No | 39c | 18,212$7,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,167.38 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Yes | 78c | 17,742$13,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,908.51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 68c | 17,677$12,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.56 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…36cbbacked No | 18c | 17,500$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,309.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 14c | 17,454$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.74 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes | 62c | 17,329$10,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,735.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 71c | 16,857$12,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000.51 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 23c | 16,827$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,025.31 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 49c | 16,807$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,627.64 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 5c | 16,667$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.78 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 2c | 16,558$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Yes | 12c | 16,150$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.89 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 70c | 16,061$11,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.27 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed No | 40c | 14,885$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,887.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 32c | 14,747$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,048.87 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 34c | 14,573$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.73 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 41c | 14,493$5,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,990.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 49c | 14,481$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,165.04 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked Yes | 16c | 14,469$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.97 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 37c | 14,415$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,089.25 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 28c | 13,940$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,068.59 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 54c | 13,929$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,462.39 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 17c | 13,583$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 64c | 13,583$8,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.76 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed No | 67c | 13,523$9,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 69c | 12,914$8,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.67 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…cc30backed Yes | 70c | 12,630$8,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,873.76 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 68c | 12,427$8,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,458.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 76c | 12,368$9,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.18 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 23c | 12,315$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.94 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 51c | 12,258$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,192.9 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 27c | 12,161$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,932.7 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 34c | 11,570$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8f…4844backed No | 56c | 11,412$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked No | 10c | 11,391$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,218.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 6c | 11,122$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 77c | 10,900$8,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.99 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 38c | 10,891$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,791.47 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…6634backed No | 48c | 10,864$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 26c | 10,743$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,921.62 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…caaabacked No | 71c | 10,685$7,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.87 | 22 | 100%22 W · 0 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…2322backed No | 16c | 10,578$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,934.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed No | 51c | 10,311$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 19c | 10,116$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.94 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 69c | 10,082$6,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,962.21 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…d936backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.86 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 10c | 9,792$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,842.57 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 64c | 9,655$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.3 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce85…ccd7backed No | 37c | 9,527$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 28c | 9,513$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,807.26 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 38c | 9,496$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.94 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 60c | 9,450$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.75 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked Yes | 58c | 9,433$5,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,446.87 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed No | 58c | 9,360$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.11 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 73c | 9,219$6,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.7 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…ac80backed No | 50c | 9,122$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 73c | 9,041$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.92 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed No | 11c | 8,976$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,996.53 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 53c | 8,846$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.44 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 74c | 8,821$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.72 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 37c | 8,733$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.54 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 37c | 8,688$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.77 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.