Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd35292d98ac866ae22c1de9023be1eca3eea18cba50980b40dc0fbf750aa3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 1c | 22,273$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.19 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…6151backed Yes | 0c | 17,075$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…2128backed Yes | 2c | 13,535$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,665$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 9,145$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 7,532$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…8df2backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…c76bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,767$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 3,456$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 1c | 2,655$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 2,381$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b7…7f9ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,843$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,789$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,766$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,565$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ce0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,431$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,354$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…de98backed Yes | 15c | 1,302$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +471.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…7577backed Yes | 2c | 1,217$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…5bfabacked Yes | 8c | 1,208$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed Yes | 4c | 1,076$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 934.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 14c | 800$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…59dbbacked Yes | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed Yes | 16c | 623.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 577.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 17c | 527.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 13c | 510.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…e623backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 496.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 51c | 493.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.54 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976d…b79dbacked Yes | 29c | 487.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 71c | 320.58$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…6342backed Yes | 16c | 320.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 10c | 316.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…795abacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 21c | 298.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 16c | 273.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 70c | 215.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed No | 66c | 211.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed Yes | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…4fbcbacked Yes | 19c | 205.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 10c | 189$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…f23dbacked Yes | 19c | 179.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…c312backed Yes | 16c | 172.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e2…e1e0backed Yes | 19c | 168.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…11c5backed Yes | 20c | 151.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…9fefbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…f93ebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…622abacked Yes | 9c | 122.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…3807backed No | 76c | 119.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 21c | 115.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Yes | 52c | 108.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 29c | 106.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…a93cbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…9b4ebacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…cc94backed Yes | 24c | 82.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +447.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…41bbbacked No | 73c | 82.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 79c | 80.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f9abbacked Yes | 23c | 79.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 73c | 70.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked Yes | 15c | 68.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…1b2fbacked Yes | 23c | 68.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f91…b4f9backed No | 71c | 63.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…98dcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…d447backed No | 79c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 76c | 59.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe447…f604backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 43c | 49.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9a…ea86backed Yes | 57c | 44.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…0a93backed No | 46c | 41.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 41.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…8fddbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…6e79backed No | 58c | 27.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…1b4ebacked Yes | 39c | 25.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 61c | 25.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed No | 71c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…7824backed No | 77c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed No | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…e224backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.