Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ae0ae2866b5b6c2af93da2147022c19f92d807e92594a74f868a4c8a1c359d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,466,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,640,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,466,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 2c | 116,774$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.54 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…6162backed Yes | 1c | 70,778$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 8c | 50,023$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.8 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 25,034$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.73 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 4c | 23,911$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.02 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 30c | 22,412$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.41 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 19,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.64 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 17c | 16,995$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.3 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 1c | 16,503$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.62 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 78c | 16,336$12,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.49 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 14,591$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 76c | 14,162$10,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.33 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 13,202$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed No | 64c | 12,792$8,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.09 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…0505backed Yes | 0c | 12,722$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…6deabacked Yes | 2c | 11,555$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad7…c55bbacked Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 20c | 9,827$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.66 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 18c | 8,315$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.31 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 2c | 7,724$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…4326backed Yes | 15c | 7,606$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,865$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.01 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…1dbdbacked Yes | 15c | 6,794$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 14c | 6,627$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.92 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…a68abacked No | 70c | 6,554$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.71 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 10c | 6,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,815$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 10c | 5,306$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…5f64backed Yes | 4c | 5,190$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 17c | 5,032$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.87 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,005$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 46c | 4,473$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.98 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…83b3backed Yes | 42c | 4,453$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 2c | 4,445$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 65c | 4,114$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.76 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 12c | 4,034$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…276fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,928$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…1488backed Yes | 5c | 3,905$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 1c | 3,888$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 61c | 3,815$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.5 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb087…7a0ebacked No | 17c | 3,750$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +268.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,718$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 34c | 3,524$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.1 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,496$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 10c | 3,404$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 34c | 3,359$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.59 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,227$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.83 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…f00dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,193$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 3c | 3,180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 30c | 3,152$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 3,121$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…fb97backed Yes | 26c | 3,084$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.14 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 22c | 3,041$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.97 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 1c | 2,962$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 72c | 2,766$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 2,584$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…f6b4backed No | 67c | 2,559$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…6ac6backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,225$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.84 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 7c | 2,220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…99b9backed Yes | 2c | 2,192$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 9c | 2,156$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…0877backed No | 69c | 2,120$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,067$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.74 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 47c | 2,037$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.05 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 9c | 2,010$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…8135backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…61d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,957$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,926$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 33c | 1,922$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.11 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…03e0backed Yes | 20c | 1,905$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.07 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,881$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 47c | 1,851$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.47 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 1,835$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.5 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,833$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…d0b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,821$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…ec47backed No | 11c | 1,816$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +306.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…5bfabacked Yes | 6c | 1,816$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 75c | 1,788$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.76 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 17c | 1,732$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…8d86backed No | 74c | 1,724$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 70c | 1,697$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 2c | 1,590$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 1,445$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.89 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 26c | 1,431$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.93 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 15c | 1,339$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +863.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…dd97backed Yes | 10c | 1,335$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Yes | 4c | 1,325$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.