Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258031a51215d328eac2db15bdf45abdee1a23d38d66e12462a83c34cf31b5c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,442,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,491,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,442,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 12c | 99,973$11,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,788.33 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 13c | 84,078$11,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,162.43 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked No | 9c | 50,080$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…7c9ebacked No | 5c | 30,387$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 26c | 25,812$6,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,762.83 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 26c | 25,349$6,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,643.03 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 4c | 22,735$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.24 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 79c | 21,530$17,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.59 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 6c | 18,437$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.84 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 22c | 15,839$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 3c | 15,572$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.48 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…9b51backed No | 40c | 14,238$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…e423backed Yes | 64c | 13,200$8,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 18c | 13,074$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.4 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 40c | 13,020$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.99 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 54c | 12,434$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.57 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked No | 5c | 11,245$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 78c | 10,724$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.83 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…399cbacked No | 1c | 10,457$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 15c | 10,123$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.82 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 13c | 10,000$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.63 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 17c | 8,738$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.92 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…33bcbacked No | 15c | 8,148$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.26 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed No | 25c | 7,035$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 41c | 7,017$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.45 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked No | 35c | 6,561$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.88 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 79c | 6,500$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 15c | 6,017$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.67 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 3c | 6,007$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 73c | 5,928$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.7 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed No | 5c | 5,683$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.36 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed No | 16c | 5,569$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 65c | 5,484$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.07 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 66c | 5,072$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 4,946$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.05 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 77c | 4,477$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.46 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 44c | 4,271$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 8c | 4,037$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.06 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 41c | 3,662$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.46 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 5c | 3,577$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed No | 28c | 3,443$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 80c | 3,333$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed No | 36c | 3,308$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.17 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 0c | 3,208$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 56c | 3,188$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.16 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…7390backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 7c | 3,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 8c | 2,992$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.01 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…5d0ebacked No | 12c | 2,945$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.36 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 22c | 2,897$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.39 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0073…d7d5backed No | 14c | 2,830$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf727…2aecbacked No | 20c | 2,712$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 66c | 2,600$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 45c | 2,555$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.41 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 15c | 2,512$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.35 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 52c | 2,466$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.68 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…a24cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,446$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 47c | 2,419$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.8 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 19c | 2,250$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.49 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Yes | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 55c | 2,058$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.13 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked No | 5c | 2,048$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 73c | 2,046$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.3 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 25c | 2,036$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc43…4d68backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a40…2083backed No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…4dd7backed No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e92…b53fbacked No | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…8323backed No | 17c | 1,961$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…f536backed No | 52c | 1,939$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 10c | 1,931$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 7c | 1,905$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…58e9backed No | 43c | 1,884$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.55 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 77c | 1,883$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…3a16backed Yes | 51c | 1,866$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.8 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +8.1wins | +0.58per pick | 35cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…8416backed No | 11c | 1,833$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed No | 14c | 1,828$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…2ebabacked No | 26c | 1,819$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…fa62backed Yes | 57c | 1,803$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…07aabacked Yes | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 18c | 1,785$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.88 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…644fbacked No | 29c | 1,742$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 12c | 1,700$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 1c | 1,667$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…f525backed Yes | 60c | 1,600$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 28c | 1,529$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.72 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 42c | 1,516$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.21 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed No | 28c | 1,502$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed No | 11c | 1,441$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed No | 5c | 1,370$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…78ddbacked No | 8c | 1,353$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed No | 17c | 1,322$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…907dbacked No | 46c | 1,303$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -8.4wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked No | 35c | 1,292$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.44 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed No | 40c | 1,252$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 50c | 1,219$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.82 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…70b0backed No | 21c | 1,196$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 3c | 1,190$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.