Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e688e3b217f932d30c51aefaf79d7ef463ae8c2810635b6f1ffb905d55dcdd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,551,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,520,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,551,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 0c | 209,610$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.21 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 8c | 64,416$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.52 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…46ecbacked Yes | 2c | 52,575$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 1c | 43,996$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…dc3cbacked Yes | 38c | 39,729$15,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,031.43 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 3c | 27,778$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 78c | 22,042$17,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.02 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 0c | 21,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 21c | 18,732$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.81 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 17,245$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.27 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 2c | 14,746$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 16c | 14,105$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.01 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…71e8backed Yes | 41c | 13,632$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe885…38efbacked Yes | 55c | 13,134$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,165.44 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 39c | 13,086$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.45 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 17c | 12,274$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.13 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 69c | 12,131$8,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.06 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 67c | 11,395$7,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.32 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…074abacked Yes | 10c | 10,679$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.05 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 6c | 10,074$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.85 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 9,933$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.68 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 5c | 9,466$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.2 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 22c | 8,570$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.17 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 78c | 8,280$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.27 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 54c | 8,063$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.91 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 28c | 8,000$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 9c | 7,245$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.72 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…befbbacked Yes | 9c | 7,216$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.46 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 8c | 7,107$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.22 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 6,537$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 8c | 6,403$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 3c | 6,150$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 4c | 6,098$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 8c | 6,024$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 11c | 5,916$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.74 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,701$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.63 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…54a8backed Yes | 7c | 5,700$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 20cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 32c | 5,571$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.34 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 22c | 5,309$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.94 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…0597backed Yes | 0c | 5,305$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 23c | 5,262$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +443.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 25c | 5,199$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2222…f221backed No | 39c | 5,162$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.19 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 2c | 4,904$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,641$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 14c | 4,569$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.56 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 47c | 4,304$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.43 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 63c | 4,133$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.13 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 70c | 3,932$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.59 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 15c | 3,927$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,860$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…ac19backed Yes | 7c | 3,802$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,750$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…cd61backed Yes | 9c | 3,607$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 27c | 3,413$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 3,308$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…b8dbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,188$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 3,074$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.79 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 8c | 3,002$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…0f9cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +169.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,991$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.65 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed No | 65c | 2,941$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.31 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed Yes | 1c | 2,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 18c | 2,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…a1e0backed Yes | 23c | 2,779$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,762$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.14 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 39c | 2,725$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.01 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 16c | 2,684$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 5c | 2,544$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…0808backed Yes | 22c | 2,533$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…bcd6backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +120%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 14c | 2,497$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed No | 51c | 2,449$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.13 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,300$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.7 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 68c | 2,243$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.82 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 46c | 2,218$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.5 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 76c | 2,206$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.94 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 5c | 2,205$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 59c | 2,199$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.59 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…61d0backed Yes | 22c | 2,162$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.72 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,150$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.34 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ef…3e53backed Yes | 5c | 2,025$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c86ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,010$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,006$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…7ad5backed Yes | 14c | 2,003$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.58 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…efd7backed Yes | 7c | 1,916$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 33c | 1,915$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.26 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…afebbacked Yes | 8c | 1,904$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +802.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 22c | 1,883$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 13c | 1,878$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed No | 78c | 1,874$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed No | 71c | 1,867$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.