Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,242,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,048,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,242,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,066 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 109,773$67,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,516.87 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…ea9ebacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 60c | 94,378$56,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,661.38 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 50c | 49,491$24,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,554.61 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked No | 58c | 36,893$21,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,225.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 32c | 29,085$9,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,348.18 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 45c | 26,650$11,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,787.24 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 9c | 26,500$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.49 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 24,450$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 74c | 24,083$17,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.28 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 24c | 23,158$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.13 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…4fe5backed No | 5c | 21,689$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 15c | 20,905$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.29 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…2673backed Yes | 24c | 19,081$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,497.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 77c | 19,051$14,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 1c | 18,598$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 38c | 18,256$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,335.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 50c | 16,975$8,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,454.04 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed No | 0c | 16,048$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 31c | 16,003$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,002.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 30c | 15,620$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.28 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked No | 41c | 15,472$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.29 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed No | 37c | 15,063$5,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 69c | 15,049$10,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.4 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 39c | 14,954$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.84 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 48c | 14,946$7,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,188 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 34c | 13,927$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.26 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 49c | 13,488$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,622.25 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 72c | 13,388$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,677.13 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 40c | 13,059$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,870.27 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 26c | 12,902$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,543.47 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 33c | 12,390$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,240.52 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 13c | 11,809$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.22 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…7822backed No | 58c | 11,677$6,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,812.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…7c9ebacked No | 12c | 11,485$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed Yes | 17c | 11,451$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449.87 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 16c | 11,194$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,432.23 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…26d3backed No | 75c | 11,172$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,405.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 16c | 11,055$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.55 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 0c | 10,795$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 22c | 10,781$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.93 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed No | 17c | 10,773$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.98 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8e…e2dbbacked No | 76c | 10,765$8,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,198.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962f…4e37backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed No | 0c | 9,986$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 43c | 9,900$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.77 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed No | 15c | 9,402$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…0b8cbacked No | 53c | 9,176$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 71c | 8,878$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed No | 58c | 8,768$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 37c | 8,696$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.38 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…6303backed No | 2c | 8,674$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 10c | 8,457$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.63 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 76c | 8,362$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.58 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 66c | 8,239$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.65 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 31c | 7,949$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.33 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes | 34c | 7,551$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed No | 40c | 7,545$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 21c | 7,511$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.26 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…baa9backed No | 27c | 7,313$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed No | 27c | 7,027$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.18 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 12c | 7,003$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.4 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…bcd2backed No | 57c | 6,952$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 29c | 6,838$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.2 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 15c | 6,735$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked No | 40c | 6,720$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.58 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 76c | 6,698$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,101.72 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 3c | 6,690$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 74c | 6,625$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.58 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 50c | 6,503$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.63 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…405abacked No | 0c | 6,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…953abacked No | 12c | 6,099$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 4c | 5,981$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked No | 0c | 5,878$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 1c | 5,810$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…907dbacked No | 74c | 5,778$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.38 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -8.4wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…a677backed No | 2c | 5,773$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…08f7backed No | 18c | 5,576$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed No | 8c | 5,570$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed No | 0c | 5,506$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 6c | 5,454$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 27c | 5,445$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 7c | 5,422$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 11c | 5,355$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.65 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 66c | 5,345$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.4 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfa…1f40backed Yes | 78c | 5,200$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…470bbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 15c | 5,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3d…d7d5backed No | 18c | 4,910$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 50c | 4,880$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.83 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked No | 69c | 4,836$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 12c | 4,790$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.44 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed No | 0c | 4,664$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 50c | 4,658$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.24 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…e5fcbacked No | 4c | 4,650$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…c38cbacked No | 44c | 4,614$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed No | 17c | 4,532$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 67c | 4,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.15 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…0040backed No | 16c | 4,473$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.