Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8241e9d7d1a6e8a42c6af38aeb18479ce087f7e47227399273b12766cb9ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,986,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,093,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,986,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 1c | 53,382$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 9c | 43,372$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.47 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…79f4backed Yes | 10c | 38,167$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 10c | 37,123$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.57 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 73c | 32,134$23,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,833.11 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 21c | 32,126$6,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,857.44 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 28,914$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 28,900$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.45 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…caaabacked No | 64c | 25,124$16,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,081.32 | 22 | 100%22 W · 0 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 35c | 24,887$8,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,827.97 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 1c | 24,198$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 23,495$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 8c | 19,149$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.67 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…0fc7backed No | 60c | 19,093$11,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,658.83 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 26c | 17,851$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.01 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 29c | 16,373$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.72 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 7c | 15,555$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.85 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 28c | 14,517$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 13c | 14,298$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 16c | 14,115$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.25 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 17c | 14,000$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.46 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…8b3bbacked No | 52c | 13,878$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.94 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 22c | 13,698$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.05 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 79c | 13,180$10,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.68 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed No | 59c | 13,016$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 11c | 12,712$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.89 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 9c | 12,255$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.59 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 17c | 11,659$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.86 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 2c | 11,102$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 43c | 10,791$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.57 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed Yes | 19c | 10,339$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.12 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 38c | 10,270$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.07 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5127backed Yes | 9c | 9,863$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.08 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 77c | 9,681$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…59c7backed Yes | 30c | 8,999$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 1c | 8,416$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 73c | 7,834$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.12 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed Yes | 30c | 7,690$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 14c | 7,647$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.81 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed No | 46c | 7,593$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.21 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 76c | 7,238$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.21 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 11c | 7,188$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.84 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 0c | 7,005$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 72c | 6,974$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 25c | 6,855$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 65c | 6,808$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed No | 76c | 6,614$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 78c | 6,258$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.45 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 73c | 6,071$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.8 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 74c | 5,867$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.01 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,797$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.62 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 71c | 5,491$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.55 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 52c | 5,448$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.22 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 77c | 5,233$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.63 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 53c | 5,094$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.71 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab1…e1eebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 61c | 4,983$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.4 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 4,966$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 29c | 4,867$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 42c | 4,805$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,766$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 54c | 4,711$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.56 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,600$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…a5a7backed No | 74c | 4,586$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 64c | 4,512$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.4 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 12c | 4,400$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,258$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.93 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 72c | 4,247$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.93 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 6c | 4,000$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 10c | 3,935$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.73 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,934$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…fcddbacked Yes | 9c | 3,911$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 21c | 3,845$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,773$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 26c | 3,770$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.1 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 29c | 3,695$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.89 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…c76bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 4c | 3,588$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed No | 73c | 3,520$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.34 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 39c | 3,480$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.83 | 159 | 22.6%36 W · 123 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b8…2256backed No | 79c | 3,448$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.71 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 57c | 3,439$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…3737backed Yes | 0c | 3,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 35c | 3,347$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.9 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 13c | 3,302$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.28 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,274$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.09 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 36c | 3,271$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.91 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 61c | 3,244$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.71 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 23c | 3,105$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.41 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 3,082$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…8869backed No | 76c | 3,032$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 58c | 3,021$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.28 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked No | 67c | 2,971$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 29c | 2,928$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 37c | 2,841$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.61 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…fa4cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,821$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +498.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.