Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c41f17860ead2faeb7b055dd768ebd7f11c0996756828ddb09acebf8b5fef22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,200,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,276,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,200,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 848 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 7c | 32,000$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.98 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 30c | 31,713$9,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,642.87 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 29c | 16,817$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.22 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 75c | 15,498$11,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.77 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 62c | 15,341$9,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,517.35 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 26c | 14,703$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.52 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed No | 40c | 14,570$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,811.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…818abacked No | 73c | 13,926$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…206dbacked Yes | 14c | 12,972$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 12,800$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 68c | 12,731$8,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.04 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…7336backed No | 75c | 12,392$9,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…6634backed Yes | 62c | 11,272$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 58c | 10,314$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…51ffbacked Yes | 10c | 10,184$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 48c | 9,749$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 15c | 9,488$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.96 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 11c | 8,989$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.31 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 19c | 8,255$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 49c | 8,000$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.07 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 63c | 7,891$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.14 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 32c | 7,510$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 74c | 7,314$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.06 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 16c | 6,820$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…7ad5backed Yes | 11c | 6,668$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 69c | 6,633$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.67 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 60c | 6,436$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.11 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 24c | 6,424$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.75 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…4ce9backed No | 56c | 6,105$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.74 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Yes | 13c | 6,025$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked No | 68c | 5,232$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.13 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 59c | 5,079$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.66 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…db17backed Yes | 3c | 5,072$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 41c | 4,995$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.93 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 39c | 4,930$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.72 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 12c | 4,623$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.57 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 40c | 4,600$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…71c1backed Yes | 46c | 4,492$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,991$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.82 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…1bdbbacked No | 61c | 3,794$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Yes | 27c | 3,657$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 10c | 3,571$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…a718backed Yes | 55c | 3,500$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 7c | 3,306$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.43 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 23c | 3,304$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.98 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 43c | 3,247$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.71 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…f23dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,115$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 30c | 3,100$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.99 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…3e3cbacked Yes | 25c | 3,097$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…2639backed Yes | 12c | 3,065$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,000$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.86 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 43c | 2,920$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.78 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…76d7backed No | 80c | 2,910$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…2189backed No | 25c | 2,868$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…1feabacked Yes | 47c | 2,861$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.61 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,609$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.3 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…6e8bbacked No | 71c | 2,596$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 39c | 2,580$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.87 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 60c | 2,528$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…724abacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 66c | 2,418$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.65 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 9c | 2,363$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 2,320$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1826…690dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,283$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 2,271$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 41c | 2,237$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.92 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 56c | 2,172$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,169$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.47 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 43c | 2,100$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,099$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.48 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked No | 38c | 2,016$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…9eccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…d514backed No | 48c | 1,992$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 49c | 1,936$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb8…5d2ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 6c | 1,783$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 63c | 1,749$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.45 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 71c | 1,731$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.73 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 46c | 1,624$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.45 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 40c | 1,603$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,533$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.21 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes | 31c | 1,510$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 29c | 1,502$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.87 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…9c2dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,497$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,452$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.8 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 31c | 1,449$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.96 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…98dcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,430$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 74c | 1,417$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.47 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed No | 54c | 1,400$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 70c | 1,400$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.9 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 45c | 1,378$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.48 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Yes | 36c | 1,374$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.