Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x553c1115fe928f9800e52ea5adabf894d6885b328be0a53927fe897c2eb8623d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 20c | 24,191$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.19 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 6c | 15,036$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.52 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 13,486$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 15c | 11,005$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.23 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,773$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked No | 78c | 6,115$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.22 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 79c | 4,679$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.75 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 3,318$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.34 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…c2e6backed Yes | 17c | 2,960$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 9c | 2,179$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.31 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 16c | 2,129$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.84 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…a9d4backed No | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,850$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,810$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,478$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 5c | 1,331$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed No | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…c558backed Yes | 11c | 1,179$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 78c | 1,136$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 788.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 3c | 720.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 607.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 12c | 546.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 18c | 530$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked No | 77c | 489.45$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…06b1backed Yes | 15c | 421.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 80c | 383.75$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 4c | 382.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 5c | 380$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 25c | 362$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 75c | 312$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 80c | 311.86$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 19c | 301.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 21c | 284$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…007abacked Yes | 6c | 279.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 80c | 251.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 233.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…0716backed Yes | 5c | 189$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 78c | 179.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 12c | 161.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…5f28backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 76c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…e41dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 82.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 76c | 78.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 16c | 71.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…35aebacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed No | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…a5b7backed Yes | 20c | 58.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa086…0b37backed Yes | 27c | 54.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 80c | 54.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…43abbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…cd88backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 78c | 31.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…4e46backed No | 80c | 30.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…8907backed No | 80c | 26.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…5ce6backed No | 79c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d321backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.