TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24b9…f36e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Serie A, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.01
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.62
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$117.32
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+181.8%+$36.37
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.05
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$313.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$318.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+121%+$384.86
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+457.2%+$301.73
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$113.45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.29
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.75
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$441.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.87
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$21.38
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFirebacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.6
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.99
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.19
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$83.31
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.33
Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Feverbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$116.89
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$232.56
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+125%+$37.46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$11.42
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$16.65
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$5.49
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$7.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.87
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.86
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$17.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.