Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09148e8a5260a4c40aceb29badc45845fe08330497756bfcc1017c478c28bb65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,565,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,379,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,565,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 12c | 223,972$26,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,649.3 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 11c | 141,507$16,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,260.45 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 11c | 36,193$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.83 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Yes | 17c | 25,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 12c | 21,684$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 11c | 21,080$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.89 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 13c | 19,689$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 13c | 18,387$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.86 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 11c | 18,020$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.23 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 13c | 18,013$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.43 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 13c | 16,486$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.9 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 12c | 15,000$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.99 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 14c | 14,682$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.29 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 13,636$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 9,718$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 9,680$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.69 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 10c | 9,128$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 14c | 9,055$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.21 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 14c | 9,000$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.41 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…4fe5backed Yes | 6c | 8,989$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.74 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 14c | 8,325$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.66 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 5c | 7,587$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…bf7fbacked Yes | 14c | 7,011$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…ee94backed Yes | 13c | 6,446$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 6,414$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.38 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 12c | 6,335$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.2 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 6,142$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.86 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 10c | 5,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…1083backed Yes | 16c | 4,993$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…5e9bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,465$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 13c | 4,434$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.52 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 4,403$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.42 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 4,167$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.84 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 14c | 4,097$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.62 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 13c | 3,880$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.15 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 11c | 3,807$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.76 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 5c | 3,626$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,461$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.23 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 10c | 3,447$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.14 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 10c | 3,398$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.75 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 11c | 3,384$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 10c | 3,310$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.06 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 9c | 3,300$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…783dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,110$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 14c | 3,103$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…b2d2backed Yes | 15c | 3,037$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…e156backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 2,987$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 2,823$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 15c | 2,722$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 17c | 2,699$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 8c | 2,657$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 9c | 2,600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 10c | 2,588$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…c417backed Yes | 12c | 2,581$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed Yes | 4c | 2,420$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dc…a9c8backed Yes | 13c | 2,400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 12c | 2,277$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 9c | 2,267$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.01 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 14c | 2,221$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.92 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Yes | 13c | 2,156$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 14c | 2,134$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 13c | 2,112$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 20c | 2,107$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,046$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 18c | 2,036$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.51 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 9c | 2,008$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…f03ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 13c | 1,984$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 1,979$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,921$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 7c | 1,895$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,880$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 11c | 1,875$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 17c | 1,830$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.13 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,803$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 14c | 1,785$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.84 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 11c | 1,700$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…5c72backed Yes | 6c | 1,698$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cf…60f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,650$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed Yes | 9c | 1,570$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 7c | 1,551$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…c0ffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,467$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 14c | 1,433$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 8c | 1,401$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Yes | 10c | 1,360$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 9c | 1,354$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 13c | 1,333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 6c | 1,307$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 10c | 1,283$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…1e7cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,236$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.