TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5e8…9fbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
970
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Commodities at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2742.9%8 W · 266 L+0.5wins0.00per pick3cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 274 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.55
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.27
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.7
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.02
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.46
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.6
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.38
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$212.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.29
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.19
Showing 25 of 274 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1873.2%6 W · 181 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+278.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.08
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.8
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.8
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.57
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.9
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.65
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.3
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+3,100%+$774.99
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.08
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT892.2%2 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.1
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.65
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.15
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.5
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.42
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.7
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.9
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.4
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.6
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.72
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.4
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT811.2%1 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+1,370.6%+$605.76
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.49
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.65
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.85
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.61
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.94
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.91
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.76
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.7
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.07
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.9
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.27
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.57
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.07
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.23
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.32
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.33
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.32
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.82
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.82
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.82
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.47
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.98
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.2
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.7
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.76
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.75
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.83
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.42
Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.32
Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.32
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.42
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.32
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.21
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.21
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.59
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.92
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.92
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,251.4%+$277.8
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Rikuya Hoshino finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.85
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.75
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.94
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.21
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.65
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.8
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.68
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.65
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.7
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.3
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.1
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.72
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT260%0 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Will Reid Rasner be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.62
Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.95
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.25
Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.6
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.24
Will Valli Geiger be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,512.9%+$562.8
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.09
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.37
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
All 18 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.32
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.16
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.25
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.06
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.9
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72.01
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.65
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$91.66
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$244.79
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$808.92
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$263.82
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.35
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.95
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.65
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.75
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.59
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.