Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b456e03832562b588e1bc3e4193bcc62fb0b2a67c81049c8e24cc0c3c82604

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $532,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $234,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,991 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	35,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	9c	18,229$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.06	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	14,403$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…28c0backed Yes	0c	11,228$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	9,622$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.84	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	1c	8,800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	0c	8,501$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	7,976$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.21	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	7,185$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	0c	5,853$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes	6c	5,400$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.3	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	5,055$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	8c	4,847$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.7	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	8c	3,503$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.33	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	10c	3,500$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.5	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	9c	3,387$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.93	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	3,294$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.91	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	7c	3,229$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.09	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	3,076$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.09	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	2,834$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.98	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	2,708$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.2	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	5c	2,655$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.11	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,646$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	6c	2,528$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.36	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	4c	2,489$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.27	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	2c	2,391$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+108%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	6c	2,317$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.06	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	1c	2,191$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	2,119$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.48	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,094$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,054$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	1,988$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	9c	1,983$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.77	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	5c	1,968$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.94	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes	9c	1,943$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.04	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,716$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.73	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes	9c	1,715$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.35	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	7c	1,698$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.53	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	6c	1,600$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.8	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1aa…6ba0backed Yes	9c	1,585$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.29	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	8c	1,555$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.33	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	5c	1,430$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.97	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	11c	1,409$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.88	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,320$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.17	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	9c	1,309$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.8	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	7c	1,294$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	2c	1,279$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d00…b0c2backed Yes	10c	1,243$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	9c	1,180$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.99	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	5c	1,132$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.01	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	1c	1,087$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	1,074$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.79	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	1,044$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.94	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	11c	1,005$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.44	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…27efbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	3c	946.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	7c	901.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.61	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	1c	883.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	4c	851.02$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	847.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.93	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	833.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes	9c	799.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+124%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	796.8$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	9c	769.53$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.67	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	9c	722.8$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	4c	693.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	687.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.03	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	7c	664.69$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.84	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	656.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.41	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	4c	655.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	10c	617.32$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.06	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	609$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	3c	600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	6c	562.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	545.84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.63	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	8c	533.95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.54	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	7c	520.26$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	12c	502.2$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.46	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…5c6cbacked Yes	7c	488.8$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	34cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	4c	452.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	451.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	450$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…ac16backed Yes	11c	444.86$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.71	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	442.93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.62	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	12c	438.56$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8b…6746backed Yes	10c	435.35$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e7…fbbfbacked Yes	5c	428.23$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	6c	427.71$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.91	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	7c	424.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.57	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	4c	402.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…d3f7backed Yes	7c	402.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	5c	401.25$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb015…42c3backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	4c	400$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes	3c	395.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	8c	389.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event