Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c732548ab73a39da2c5a301350251343d9b6df4b2b514978035fa94a1fef34b

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $878,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $485,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1169…d622backed Yes	0c	43,644$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.52	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7601…5136backed Yes	1c	19,439$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.44	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-74%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	15,403$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.18	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	14,238$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.24	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	0c	13,333$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	12,172$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.51	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	4c	11,391$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.89	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f09…383fbacked Yes	0c	11,253$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2df…3b97backed Yes	0c	10,508$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	0c	10,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	6c	9,682$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.84	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	0c	9,129$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	0c	9,128$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	8,827$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.3	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	1c	8,761$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.65	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	7,520$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.26	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	7,423$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	7,359$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.15	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	7,279$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.83	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	7,258$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.21	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	2c	7,152$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.48	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	1c	6,729$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.57	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	1c	6,519$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.62	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8914…36d5backed Yes	1c	6,267$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	1c	5,859$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.88	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…356dbacked Yes	0c	5,676$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	7cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	1c	5,369$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.05	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	0c	5,050$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	5c	4,934$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.8	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x795d…53a4backed Yes	0c	4,914$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	4,874$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.35	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	2c	4,822$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.46	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	1c	4,747$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.62	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	2c	4,083$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.11	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	1c	4,033$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.33	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	3,845$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.21	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	3,542$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.88	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	3,291$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.26	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	3c	3,257$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.53	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	3,095$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.17	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes	1c	3,076$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	1c	3,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	2,968$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	2,755$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.81	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	2,752$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb603…58febacked Yes	1c	2,742$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.33	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes	1c	2,733$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.74	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	2,646$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.76	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes	0c	2,580$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	1c	2,414$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.05	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3127…1577backed Yes	0c	2,281$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	1c	2,248$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x776d…a16bbacked Yes	2c	2,199$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+136.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	2c	2,193$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x513d…f7babacked Yes	2c	2,050$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.68	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	+111.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9060…790bbacked Yes	1c	2,017$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	2,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	2c	1,984$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.61	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	1c	1,906$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	1,879$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	1c	1,858$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4986…6996backed Yes	1c	1,754$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	141	24.1%34 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	1c	1,585$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	2c	1,557$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	2c	1,545$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	3c	1,495$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.42	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	3c	1,347$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.87	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	2c	1,318$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x107f…fa42backed Yes	2c	1,157$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	1,142$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.22	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	2c	1,106$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f9…94a6backed Yes	2c	1,102$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+31%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cc…185cbacked Yes	2c	1,080$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	3c	1,015$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.72	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	2c	1,012$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	1c	995.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	973.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dbf…10d9backed Yes	2c	898.18$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d8…4b04backed Yes	1c	862.23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6c…8ce4backed Yes	4c	861.32$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	2c	811.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	3c	795.49$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	789.76$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a5…1e04backed Yes	2c	781.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	3c	668.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes	2c	608.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3472…bc66backed Yes	3c	598.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4e…a12fbacked Yes	3c	591.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-36%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	4c	539.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	3c	519.94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.47	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	4c	486.56$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd969…b9b9backed Yes	3c	441.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	127	20.5%26 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	3c	427.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	2c	416.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	6c	312.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b9…0d39backed Yes	4c	250$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	108	20.4%22 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event